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A property in the 100-year floodplain has a 96 percent…

“A property in the 100-year floodplain has a 96 percent chance of being flooded in the next hundred years without global warming. The fact that several years go by without a flood does not change that probability.” quote by Earl Blumenauer
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“A property in the 100-year floodplain has a 96 percent chance of being flooded in the next hundred years without global warming. The fact that several years go by without a flood does not change that probability.”

Earl Blumenauer

About This Quote

This interpretation was drafted with AI assistance. It is one reading of the quote, not the author's own explanation.

Even without recent floods, a 100‑year floodplain still carries a high flood probability, underscoring climate risk regardless of short‑term observations.

In simple terms: Flood risk stays high despite no recent floods.

Key Takeaway

Plan for flood risk now, not later.

Themes

climate change risk assessment probability long‑term planning

Mood

concerned urgent

Type

policy educational

When to use this quote

  • urban planning
  • insurance
  • community preparedness

Key Concepts

environmental science statistics policy making

Questions to Reflect On

  • How can communities reduce flood risk?
  • What role does climate change play in flood probabilities?
A Different Perspective

The statistic may be misinterpreted without context of mitigation efforts.

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