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Cents Quote by Ronald Fisher

“If one in twenty does not seem high enough odds, we may, if we prefer it, draw the line at one in fifty (the 2 per cent. point), or one in a hundred (the 1 per cent. point). Personally, the writer prefers to set a low standard of significance at the 5 per cent. point, and ignore entirely all…” quote by Ronald Fisher
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“If one in twenty does not seem high enough odds, we may, if we prefer it, draw the line at one in fifty (the 2 per cent. point), or one in a hundred (the 1 per cent. point). Personally, the writer prefers to set a low standard of significance at the 5 per cent. point, and ignore entirely all results which fail to reach this level. A scientific fact should be regarded as experimentally established only if a properly designed experiment rarely fails to give this level of significance.”

Ronald Fisher

About This Quote

Source Book: Statistical Methods for Research Workers, 1925

Statistical significance thresholds are conventions; Fisher suggests a 5% cutoff for deeming results reliable.

In simple terms: Use 5% as a standard for significance.

Key Takeaway

Adopt a clear significance level.

Themes

statistics research significance

Mood

analytical critical

Type

educational informative

When to use this quote

  • clinical trials
  • psychology studies
  • economics research
  • policy analysis

Key Concepts

p-values confidence intervals null hypothesis testing

Questions to Reflect On

  • Is a 5% cutoff always appropriate?
  • How do you handle results near the threshold?
A Different Perspective

Different fields may require stricter or looser thresholds.

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