Skip to content

Foresight Quote by Roger Spitz

“The most challenging aspect of prognostication is that our complex world is deeply uncertain and becoming increasingly so.” quote by Roger Spitz
Download Open image
““The most challenging aspect of prognostication is that our complex world is deeply uncertain and becoming increasingly so.””

Roger Spitz

About This Quote

Source Article: “Uncertainty in Forecasting” in Futures Journal, 2021

Predicting the future is hard because the world is increasingly complex and uncertain.

In simple terms: Forecasting is very uncertain.

Key Takeaway

Plan for flexibility.

Themes

uncertainty forecasting complexity

Mood

thoughtful cautious

Type

analytical strategic

When to use this quote

  • business strategy
  • climate modeling
  • policy planning

Key Concepts

systems theory probabilistic modeling risk management

Questions to Reflect On

  • How can we improve resilience?
  • What tools handle deep uncertainty?
A Different Perspective

Too much focus on precision can mislead.

3.9 out of 5 (5 ratings)

More by Roger Spitz

Explore all 32 Roger Spitz quotes

More Foresight quotes

Browse all 252 Foresight quotes