Foresight Quote by Roger Spitz
““The most challenging aspect of prognostication is that our complex world is deeply uncertain and becoming increasingly so.””
About This Quote
Source Article: “Uncertainty in Forecasting” in Futures Journal, 2021
Predicting the future is hard because the world is increasingly complex and uncertain.
In simple terms: Forecasting is very uncertain.
Plan for flexibility.
Themes
Mood
Type
When to use this quote
- business strategy
- climate modeling
- policy planning
Key Concepts
Questions to Reflect On
- How can we improve resilience?
- What tools handle deep uncertainty?
Too much focus on precision can mislead.