Always wrong Quote by Richard Dennis
“Trading has taught me not to take the conventional wisdom for granted. What money I made in trading is testimony to the fact that the majority is wrong a lot of the time. The vast majority is wrong even more of the time. I've learned that markets, which are often just mad crowds, are often irrational; when emotionally overwrought, they're almost always wrong.”
About This Quote
Source Interview: Market Wizards, Jack Schwager, 1990
Conventional market wisdom is often wrong; crowds become irrational, especially when emotional, leading to profitable opportunities for contrarians.
In simple terms: Most market advice is wrong; crowds act irrationally.
Question the herd and seek contrarian angles.
Themes
Mood
Type
When to use this quote
- stock trading
- hedge fund strategies
- risk assessment
- portfolio construction
Key Concepts
Questions to Reflect On
- How do you identify when the crowd is irrational?
- What signals indicate a contrarian opportunity?
Crowd irrationality can be unpredictable and lead to losses if misread.