Argument Quote by Plato

All that belongs to human understanding, in this deep ignorance and obscurity, is to be sceptical, or at least cautious, and not to admit…

— David Hume

Sometimes the probabilities are very close to certainties, but they're never really certainties

— Murray Gell-Mann

“Don’t mistake possibilities for probabilities.”

— Ray Dalio

Earlier attempts to show that simpler theories always have higher prior probabilities have failed, but there is a restricted circumstance in which the claim…

— Elliott Sober

“Because these calculations generate precise numbers for an uncertain risk, they produce an illusory certainty.”

— Gerd Gigerenzer

Those who are full of certainty are usually wrong.

— Nick Boles

“The more statistically improbable a thing is, the less we can believe it just happened by blind chance...the obvious alternative to chance is an…

— Richard Dawkins

“The probabilitation of possibilities is the mother of many unrealistic ideas,uninformative decisions,inappropriate measures and unfair actions because most of the times we were approximate…

— Mpho Leteng

We balance probabilities and choose the most likely. It is the scientific use of the imagination.

— Arthur Conan Doyle

The theory of probabilities is at bottom nothing but common sense reduced to calculus; it enables us to appreciate with exactness that which accurate…

— Pierre-Simon Laplace

It is evidently equally foolish to accept probable reasoning from a mathematician and to demand from a rhetorician demonstrative proofs.

— Aristotle

“...the absence of certainty does not mean that one interpretation is as valid as any other. Probabilities and plausibilities matter; and when the evidence…

— Mary Lefkowitz