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Investing Quote by Nick Bostrom

“Another lesson is that smart professionals might give an instruction to a program based on a sensible-seeming and normally sound assumption (e.g. that trading volume is a good measure of market liquidity), and that this can produce catastrophic results when the program continues to act on the…” quote by Nick Bostrom
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““Another lesson is that smart professionals might give an instruction to a program based on a sensible-seeming and normally sound assumption (e.g. that trading volume is a good measure of market liquidity), and that this can produce catastrophic results when the program continues to act on the instruction with iron-clad logical consistency even in the unanticipated situation where the assumption turns out to be invalid. The algorithm just does what it does; and unless it is a very special kind of algorithm, it does not care that we clasp our heads and gasp in dumbstruck horror at the absurd inappropriateness of its actions. This is a theme that we will encounter again.””

Nick Bostrom

About This Quote

Source Book: Superintelligence by Nick Bostrom, 2014

Algorithms follow instructions literally, so faulty assumptions can cause disastrous outcomes when conditions change unexpectedly.

In simple terms: Programs act on assumptions without understanding context.

Key Takeaway

Validate assumptions before automating.

Themes

technology risk automation assumptions

Mood

cautious analytical

Type

warning philosophical

When to use this quote

  • financial trading
  • AI deployment
  • software development
  • risk assessment

Key Concepts

logic robustness system design

Questions to Reflect On

  • How can we detect hidden assumptions?
  • What safeguards prevent rigid logic from causing harm?
A Different Perspective

Assumptions may be hidden and hard to test.

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