Certainty Quote by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
““When things go our way we reject the lack of certainty.””
About This Quote
Source Book: The Black Swan, 2007
When outcomes are favorable, we ignore uncertainty and become overconfident.
In simple terms: Success breeds false certainty.
Stay aware of hidden risks even in success.
Themes
Mood
Type
When to use this quote
- investment
- project planning
- health decisions
- policy making
Key Concepts
Questions to Reflect On
- How do you maintain humility after success?
- What safeguards can you add to mitigate hidden risks?
Ignoring uncertainty can cause catastrophic failures later.