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Long time Quote by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

“Things that have worked for a long time are preferable - they are more likely to have reached their ergodic states. At the worst, we don't know how long they'll last.” quote by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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““Things that have worked for a long time are preferable - they are more likely to have reached their ergodic states. At the worst, we don't know how long they'll last.””

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

About This Quote

Established methods are trusted because they have reached stable, long‑term states, yet their durability remains uncertain.

In simple terms: Old methods feel safe but may not last.

Key Takeaway

Value proven systems while staying vigilant.

Themes

risk stability ergodicity uncertainty

Mood

cautious analytical

Type

philosophical strategic

When to use this quote

  • business strategy
  • investment decisions
  • policy making

Key Concepts

systems theory long‑term planning

Questions to Reflect On

  • How do we test the longevity of a method?
  • What signals indicate a system’s decay?
A Different Perspective

New innovations can disrupt even stable systems.

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