Acknowledge Quote by Hans von Storch
“If things continue as they have been, in five years, at the latest, we will need to acknowledge that something is fundamentally wrong with our climate models. A 20-year pause in global warming does not occur in a single modeled scenario. But even today, we are finding it very difficult to reconcile actual temperature trends with our expectations.”
About This Quote
Source Speech: Climate science conference, 2023
Current climate models fail to capture recent warming pauses, indicating fundamental flaws that need urgent review.
In simple terms: Models miss recent temperature trends.
Key Takeaway
Reevaluate and improve climate modeling.
Themes
science
climate
modeling
uncertainty
policy
Mood
concerned
analytical
Type
scientific
warning
When to use this quote
- policy planning
- research funding
- public communication
- educational curricula
Key Concepts
feedback loops
systemic error
data assimilation
Questions to Reflect On
- How can models be better aligned with observations?
- What policy changes are needed if models are flawed?
A Different Perspective
Models may be limited by data gaps and assumptions.
![“How reliable are the computer [climate] models on which possible future climates are based? Not very. All will agree that the task of modeling climate is vast, because of the estimates that have to be made and the rubbery quality of much of the data.” quote by Don Aitkin](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/img-quotes/6c9/don-aitkin-58443_agree_how-reliable-are-the-computer-climate-mo_2504201.jpg)
![“Human myopia cannot be overcome simply by well-meaning attempts to build [climate] models that purport to peer decades and centuries ahead. Action taken now, in anticipation of supposed long run trends, may concentrate on the wrong issues and make matters worse rather than better.” quote by Colin Robinson](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/img-quotes/6b2/colin-robinson-66433_action_human-myopia-cannot-be-overcome-simply-b_2243208.jpg)
