"Hindsight bias makes surprises vanish." — Daniel Kahneman

"Hindsight bias makes surprises vanish."

— Daniel Kahneman

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158 Quotes by Daniel Kahneman

Daniel Kahneman has 158 quotes on this site. A few more worth reading:

Odd as it may seem, I am my remembering self, and the experiencing self, who does my living, is like…
We are prone to overestimate how much we understand about the world and to underestimate the role of chance in…
The illusion that we understand the past fosters overconfidence in our ability to predict the future.
The most effortful forms of slow thinking are those that require you to think fast.
However, optimism is highly valued, socially and in the market; people and firms reward the providers of dangerously misleading information…
If you care about being thought credible and intelligent, do not use complex language where simpler language will do.
We are often confident even when we are wrong, and an objective observer is more likely to detect our errors…
When action is needed, optimism, even of the mildly delusional variety, may be a good thing.
The concept of loss aversion is certainly the most significant contribution of psychology to behavioral economics.
A general limitation of the human mind is its imperfect ability to reconstruct past states of knowledge, or beliefs that…
It is only a slight exaggeration to say that happiness is the experience of spending time with people you love…
People who are cognitively busy are also more likely to make selfish choices, use sexist language, and make superficial judgments…

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More Bias Quotes

This quote is filed under Bias Quotes, one of 192 quotes in that category. Here are a few more:

My point is that perceptual bias can affect nut jobs and scientists alike. If we hold too rigidly to what… — Martha Beck
I am on the right wing of the middle of the road and with a strong radical bias. — Tony Benn
Anybody who has had the pleasure of reading an article about themselves in the press knows that, on the whole,… — Jo Brand
Two quite opposite qualities equally bias our minds - habits and novelty. — Jean de la Bruyere
Bias has to be taught. If you hear your parents downgrading women or people of different backgrounds, why, you are… — Barbara Bush
The bias against introversion leads to a colossal waste of talent, energy, and happiness. — Susan Cain
I do find that the mainstream media oftentimes is what I would consider off base or has a bias. — Dick Cheney
In other words, they decided right from the start that there's no God, and they're setting out to try to… — Ken Ham
We can at least try to understand our own motives, passions, and prejudices, so as to be conscious of what… — Thomas Stearns Eliot
Unicef's education initiative does not seek to impose, but to initiate and integrate. It does, however, aim to address the… — Ralph Fiennes
When I go out and race, I'm not trying to beat opponents, I'm trying to beat what I have done… — Ian Thorpe
There is no neutrality. There is only greater or lesser awareness of one's bias. — Phyllis Rose

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