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Causality Quote by Anonymous

“Correlation does not equal causality. When two things travel together, it is tempting to assume that one causes the other. Married people, for instance, are demonstrably happier than single people; does this mean that marriage causes happiness? Not necessarily. The data suggest that happy people…” quote by Anonymous
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““Correlation does not equal causality. When two things travel together, it is tempting to assume that one causes the other. Married people, for instance, are demonstrably happier than single people; does this mean that marriage causes happiness? Not necessarily. The data suggest that happy people are more likely to get married in the first place. As one researcher memorably put it, “If you’re grumpy, who the hell wants to marry you?””

Anonymous

About This Quote

Source Book: Statistics for Social Scientists, 2015

Correlation shows two variables move together, but does not prove one causes the other; causation requires deeper analysis.

In simple terms: Correlation ≠ causation.

Key Takeaway

Question assumptions about cause and effect.

Themes

statistics critical thinking causation

Mood

skeptical analytical

Type

educational informative

When to use this quote

  • research design
  • policy making
  • media reporting
  • personal decisions

Key Concepts

probability confounding variables

Questions to Reflect On

  • What evidence would you need to prove causation?
  • How might you test if a relationship is causal?
A Different Perspective

Correlation can be misleading without controlling for hidden factors.

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