A thoughtful investment process contemplates both probability and payoffs and carefully considers where the consensus - as revealed by a price -… — Michael Mauboussin Copy Share Image
Probability is expectation founded upon partial knowledge. A perfect acquaintance with all the circumstances affecting the occurrence of an event would change… — George Boole Copy Share Image
I believe the calculation of the quantity of probability might be improved to a very useful and pleasant speculation, and applied to… — John Arbuthnot Copy Share Image
The certainty that life cannot be long, and the probability that it will be much shorter than nature allows, ought to awaken… — Samuel Johnson Copy Share Image
A Resource-Based Economy is in the application of the methods of science with human concern and environmental concern. If we used the… — Jacque Fresco Copy Share Image
At one time, the earth was supposed to be flat. Well, so it is, even today, from Paris to Asnieres. But that… — Vincent Van Gogh Copy Share Image
It follows that the word probability, in its mathematical acceptance, has reference to the state of our knowledge of the circumstances under… — George Boole Copy Share Image
“People play the lottery all the time unaware of how mind-bogglingly difficult it is to win. It seems like they take a… — Orlando Winters Copy Share Image
A miscalculation is not negligence, nor prudence a crime. I am a scientist. I base my action or inaction upon probability and… — Rick Yancey Copy Share Image
It is only by fidelity in little things that the grace of true love to God can be sustained, and distinguished from… — Francois Fenelon Copy Share Image
Frankly, I've had the opportunity to get certain accolades, make it to the conference finals, get awards, all this other stuff that… — Daryl Morey Copy Share Image
However, the small probability of a similar encounter [of the earth with a comet], can become very great in adding up over… — Pierre-Simon Laplace Copy Share Image
“Try calculating the probability of getting a call from an old friend after just thinking about them. Or, your favorite song coming… — Charles F. Glassman Copy Share Image
Do not personally give any more conscious consideration, either of you, to events that you do not want to happen. Any such… — Seth Copy Share Image
Some periods of our growth are so confusing that we don't even recognize that growth is happening...Those long periods when something inside… — Alice Walker Copy Share Image
You travel life has the aspect of a dream. It is something outside the normal, yet you are in it. It is… — Agatha Christie Copy Share Image
Current organisms have a higher probability of sharing a single code if the common ancestry hypothesis is true than they'd have if… — Elliott Sober Copy Share Image
Given our inevitably incomplete knowledge about key structural aspects of our ever-changing economy and the sometimes asymmetric costs or benefits of particular… — Alan Greenspan Copy Share Image
The percent likelihood of a society becoming physically violent if it is physically affectionate towards its infants and tolerant of premarital sexual… — James W. Prescott Copy Share Image
Is it conceivable that a newly emancipated people can soar to the heights of liberty, and, unlike Icarus, neither have its wings… — Simon Bolivar Copy Share Image
Rather, risk is a perception in each investor's mind that results from analysis of the probability and amount of potential loss from… — Seth Klarman Copy Share Image
All empty souls tend to extreme opinion. It is only in those who have built up a rich world of memories and… — William Butler Yeats Copy Share Image
If we only identify with the mortal world, then we identify with a level of scarcity and lack and brokenness, and that… — Marianne Williamson Copy Share Image
Without any doubt, the regularity which astronomy shows us in the movements of the comets takes place in all phenomena. The trajectory… — Pierre-Simon Laplace Copy Share Image
Scientists do not believe in fundamental and absolute certainties. For the scientist, certainty is never an end, but a search; not the… — Ashley Montagu Copy Share Image
It is almost possible to predict one or two days in advance, within a rather broad range of probability, what the weather… — Antoine Lavoisier Copy Share Image
It was our use of probability theory as logic that has enabled us to do so easily what was impossible for those… — Edwin Thompson Jaynes Copy Share Image
The source of Pyrrhonism comes from failing to distinguish between a demonstration, a proof and a probability. A demonstration supposes that the… — Andrew Michael Ramsay Copy Share Image
When you turn from one room to the next, when your animal senses no longer perceive the sounds of the dishwasher, the… — Robert Lanza Copy Share Image
People in suburbia see trees differently than foresters do. They cherish every one. It is useless to speak of the probability that… — Roger Swain Copy Share Image
Man's destiny was no longer determined from 'above' by a super-human wisdom and will, but from 'below' by the sub-human agencies of… — Arthur Koestler Copy Share Image
“Oh, don’t worry, I am perfectly aware of the fantasy involved here, but what we want is almost never exempt from the… — Ben Marcus Copy Share Image
I described to my patent lawyer our new algorithm-that I was hoping to patent- about detecting clustering, that involved three probabilities α… — Jennifer Tour Chayes Copy Share Image
If you trace back all those links in the chain that had to be in place for me to be here, the… — Jim Al-Khalili Copy Share Image
“The probability of an event is the reason we have to believe that it has taken place, or that it will take… — Siméon Denis Poisson Copy Share Image
One of the most striking and fundamental things about probability theory is that it leads to an understanding of the otherwise strange… — Warren Weaver Copy Share Image
“That an organism will see the light, hear the night, or touch the wind is subject to probability. And that its perfection… — Dew Platt Copy Share Image
Failure saves lives. In the airline industry, every time a plane crashes the probability of the next crash is lowered by that.… — Nassim Nicholas Taleb Copy Share Image
Nature prefers the more probable states to the less probable because in nature processes take place in the direction of greater probability.… — Max Planck Copy Share Image
I think you're begging the question," said Haydock, "and I can see looming ahead one of those terrible exercises in probability where… — Agatha Christie Copy Share Image