I do not believe that there is any person, method, or tool that can consistently and reliably predict specific human events, X- or otherwise. — John L. Casti Copy Share Image
A good analogy is stretching a rubber band. You can stretch and stretch and even feel the tension increase in the muscles in your hands and arms as the gap from one end of the band to the other widens.… — John L. Casti Copy Share Image
From the 1990s onward, the financial sector created a vast array of instruments designed to separate investors from their money, financial derivatives of an… — John L. Casti Copy Share Image
We see an ever-increasing move toward inter and trans- disciplinary attacks upon problems in the real world ... The system scientist has a central… — John L. Casti Copy Share Image
When the next big problem comes online, be it the Euro crisis, nuclear proliferation, an overstretched Internet, a killer flu, or any of the… — John L. Casti Copy Share Image
What distinguishes a mathematical model from, say, a poem, a song, a portrait or any other kind of "model," is that the mathematical model… — John L. Casti Copy Share Image
My own guess is that quite quickly the machine intelligence will start dreaming machine dreams and thinking machine thoughts, both of which would totally… — John L. Casti Copy Share Image
Resilience, timing, adaptation - these are the three pillars upon which the emergent properties of interacting systems rest. When the systems are the economy… — John L. Casti Copy Share Image
I think that in the immediate aftermath of a superhuman machine intelligence revealing itself, most people would feel very threatened but take solace in… — John L. Casti Copy Share Image
I don't think the emergence of a superhuman intelligence would be at all catastrophic but much more likely to be beneficial - just as… — John L. Casti Copy Share Image
I do not believe that there is any person, method, or tool that can consistently and reliably predict specific human events, X- or otherwise. — John L. Casti Copy Share Image
The process of globalization has now interconnected almost everything ranging from financial markets to transport networks to communication systems in a huge system that… — John L. Casti Copy Share Image
The global financial system consists of firms in the financial services sector - banks, hedge funds, insurance companies and the like - and various… — John L. Casti Copy Share Image
If the group has a negative social mood, believing that tomorrow will be worse than today, the bias goes in the opposite direction. Instead… — John L. Casti Copy Share Image
