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In the 1980s, there were occasions when it made sense to…

“In the 1980s, there were occasions when it made sense to say, 'it is too difficult to maximize the likelihood function, and besides if we do, it will blow our model out of the water.” quote by Thomas J. Sargent
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“In the 1980s, there were occasions when it made sense to say, 'it is too difficult to maximize the likelihood function, and besides if we do, it will blow our model out of the water.”

Thomas J. Sargent

About This Quote

This interpretation was drafted with AI assistance. It is one reading of the quote, not the author's own explanation.

Complex models can be computationally infeasible, so simpler approximations are often used.

In simple terms: Hard to compute models are often simplified.

Key Takeaway

Balance model realism with computational limits.

Themes

econometrics modeling computational limits

Mood

cautious analytical

Type

technical academic

When to use this quote

  • policy analysis
  • financial forecasting
  • academic research

Key Concepts

likelihood maximization model complexity approximation methods

Questions to Reflect On

  • When is a simpler model acceptable?
  • What risks do approximations introduce?
A Different Perspective

Simplification may sacrifice accuracy.

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