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We tend to overestimate the impact of technology in the…

“We tend to overestimate the impact of technology in the short term and underestimate it in the long term.” quote by Roy Amara
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““We tend to overestimate the impact of technology in the short term and underestimate it in the long term.””

Roy Amara

About This Quote

This interpretation was drafted with AI assistance. It is one reading of the quote, not the author's own explanation.

People tend to over‑estimate short‑term tech impact and underestimate long‑term consequences.

In simple terms: Short‑term hype, long‑term neglect.

Key Takeaway

Balance optimism with realistic forecasting.

Themes

technology forecasting short term long term perception

Mood

insightful pragmatic

Type

technology:1 forecasting:1 short term:1 long term:1 perception:1

When to use this quote

  • business strategy
  • policy development
  • research agendas

Key Concepts

innovation cycles risk assessment strategic planning

Questions to Reflect On

  • How can we improve long‑term tech foresight?
  • What mechanisms prevent short‑term bias?
A Different Perspective

Long‑term effects are hard to predict.

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