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Whatever is newly expensive has two attributes: wonderful…

“Whatever is newly expensive has two attributes: wonderful past returns and, in most cases, lousy future returns.” quote by Robert D. Arnott
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“Whatever is newly expensive has two attributes: wonderful past returns and, in most cases, lousy future returns.”

Robert D. Arnott

About This Quote

This interpretation was drafted with AI assistance. It is one reading of the quote, not the author's own explanation.

Investments that have recently become costly often look attractive because of past performance, but they usually underperform going forward.

In simple terms: Expensive assets often have bad future returns.

Key Takeaway

Beware of chasing past winners.

Themes

investing risk valuation behavioral finance

Mood

cautious analytical

Type

financial advisory

When to use this quote

  • stock picking
  • portfolio rebalancing
  • retirement planning
  • risk management

Key Concepts

mean reversion overconfidence market cycles

Questions to Reflect On

  • Do you evaluate assets based on fundamentals or recent price trends?
  • How can you guard against overpaying for past success?
A Different Perspective

Past performance is not a reliable predictor of future results.

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