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What the use of P [the significance level] implies…

“What the use of P [the significance level] implies, therefore, is that a hypothesis that may be true may be rejected because it has not predicted observable results that have not occurred.” quote by Harold Jeffreys
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“What the use of P [the significance level] implies, therefore, is that a hypothesis that may be true may be rejected because it has not predicted observable results that have not occurred.”

Harold Jeffreys

About This Quote

This interpretation was drafted with AI assistance. It is one reading of the quote, not the author's own explanation.

Statistical significance can cause a true hypothesis to be rejected if data are missing or not observed.

In simple terms: A true idea may be dismissed due to lack of data.

Key Takeaway

Beware of over‑reliance on p‑values.

Themes

statistics uncertainty methodology

Mood

cautious analytical

Type

scientific methodological

When to use this quote

  • research design
  • clinical trials
  • policy analysis

Key Concepts

significance testing type I error data scarcity

Questions to Reflect On

  • How do you balance statistical rigor with practical relevance?
  • When should you trust intuition over a p‑value?
A Different Perspective

Statistical tests cannot capture all relevant evidence.

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