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The National Academy of Sciences undertook its first major…

“The National Academy of Sciences undertook its first major study of global warming in 1979. At that point, climate modeling was still in its infancy, and only a few groups, one led by Syukuro Manabe at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and another by James Hansen at NASA’s…” quote by Elizabeth Kolbert
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““The National Academy of Sciences undertook its first major study of global warming in 1979. At that point, climate modeling was still in its infancy, and only a few groups, one led by Syukuro Manabe at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and another by James Hansen at NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies, had considered in any detail the effects of adding carbon dioxide to the atmosphere. Still, the results of their work were alarming enough that President Jimmy Carter called on the academy to investigate. A nine-member panel was appointed. It was led by the distinguished meteorologist Jule Charney, of MIT, who, in the 1940s, had been the first meteorologist to demonstrate that numerical weather forecasting was feasible. The Ad Hoc Study Group on Carbon Dioxide and Climate, or the Charney panel, as it became known, met for five days at the National Academy of Sciences’ summer study center, in Woods Hole, Massachusetts. Its conclusions were unequivocal. Panel members had looked for flaws in the modelers’work but had been unable to find any. “If carbon dioxide continues to increase, the study group finds no reason to doubt that climate changes will result and no reason to believe that these changes will be negligible,””

Elizabeth Kolbert

About This Quote

This interpretation was drafted with AI assistance. It is one reading of the quote, not the author's own explanation.

Early climate science warned that rising CO₂ would cause significant climate change, a conclusion still supported today.

In simple terms: Scientists warned CO₂ rise would change climate.

Key Takeaway

Take climate warnings seriously.

Themes

climate science policy history environment

Mood

concerned urgent

Type

scientific historical

When to use this quote

  • government policy
  • educational curricula
  • public health planning
  • energy sector strategy

Key Concepts

carbon cycle modeling uncertainty risk assessment

Questions to Reflect On

  • How have climate models improved since 1979?
  • What actions can we take based on early warnings?
A Different Perspective

Early models were limited and data sparse, so predictions carried uncertainty.

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