There's a tremendous popular fallacy which holds that…
“There's a tremendous popular fallacy which holds that significant research can be carried out by trying things. Actually it is easy to show that in general no significant problem can be solved empirically, except for accidents so rare as to be statistically unimportant. One of my jests is to say that we work empirically -- we use bull's eye empiricism. We try everything, but we try the right thing first!”
About This Quote
This interpretation was drafted with AI assistance. It is one reading of the quote, not the author's own explanation.
Empirical trial‑and‑error alone rarely solves major problems; strategic focus on the right experiments is essential.
In simple terms: Random testing insufficient; choose wisely.
Key Takeaway
Target the right problem first.
Themes
research
methodology
strategy
efficiency
Mood
analytical
pragmatic
Type
technical
motivational
When to use this quote
- product development
- scientific studies
- business strategy
- problem solving
Key Concepts
scientific method
innovation
risk management
Questions to Reflect On
- How do you decide which experiment to prioritize?
- When is trial‑and‑error appropriate?
A Different Perspective
Over‑emphasis on strategy can ignore serendipitous breakthroughs.