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If your credit is going to grow at 10-15 percent per year…

“If your credit is going to grow at 10-15 percent per year in order to get your 5 percent GDP growth per year, eventually you're going to have a problem. This isn't a stable system.” quote by Adair Turner, Baron Turner of Ecchinswell
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“If your credit is going to grow at 10-15 percent per year in order to get your 5 percent GDP growth per year, eventually you're going to have a problem. This isn't a stable system.”

Adair Turner, Baron Turner of Ecchinswell

About This Quote

This interpretation was drafted with AI assistance. It is one reading of the quote, not the author's own explanation.

High credit growth outpacing GDP creates instability; unsustainable financial cycles lead to crises.

In simple terms: Too much debt hurts the economy.

Key Takeaway

Align credit growth with real economic growth.

Themes

economics finance stability

Mood

analytical cautious

Type

analysis warning

When to use this quote

  • government budgeting
  • investment planning
  • bank lending
  • policy making

Key Concepts

credit cycles GDP growth macro risk

Questions to Reflect On

  • What measures can stabilize credit without stalling growth?
  • How to detect early signs of credit‑GDP mismatch?
A Different Perspective

Low growth economies may still need credit expansion for development.

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