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Fermi Said Quote by Richard Rhodes

“So Fermi said, “Well . . . there is the remote possibility that neutrons may be emitted in the fission of uranium and then of course perhaps a chain reaction can be made.” Rabi said, “What do you mean by ‘remote possibility’?” and Fermi said, “Well, ten per cent.” Rabi said, “Ten per cent is not a…” quote by Richard Rhodes
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““So Fermi said, “Well . . . there is the remote possibility that neutrons may be emitted in the fission of uranium and then of course perhaps a chain reaction can be made.” Rabi said, “What do you mean by ‘remote possibility’?” and Fermi said, “Well, ten per cent.” Rabi said, “Ten per cent is not a remote possibility if it means that we may die of it. If I have pneumonia and the doctor tells me that there is a remote possibility that I might die, and it’s ten percent, I get excited about it.””

Richard Rhodes

About This Quote

Source Book: The Making of the Atomic Bomb by Richard Rhodes, 1986

Fermi’s estimate of a ten‑percent chance of a chain reaction was dismissed as a “remote possibility,” highlighting differing risk perceptions.

In simple terms: Scientists and laypeople view risk differently.

Key Takeaway

Clarify risk communication.

Themes

science risk communication

Mood

analytical critical

Type

explanatory informative

When to use this quote

  • policy decisions
  • public health warnings
  • technical debates

Key Concepts

probability uncertainty perception

Questions to Reflect On

  • How do you convey uncertainty?
  • When is a ten‑percent risk acceptable?
A Different Perspective

Technical jargon can obscure real danger.

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