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Center Quote by Paul Wolfowitz

“Someone once said that history has more imagination than all the scenario writers in the Pentagon, and we have a lot of scenario writers here. No one ever wrote a scenario for commercial airliners crashing into the World Trade Center.” quote by Paul Wolfowitz
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“Someone once said that history has more imagination than all the scenario writers in the Pentagon, and we have a lot of scenario writers here. No one ever wrote a scenario for commercial airliners crashing into the World Trade Center.”

Paul Wolfowitz

About This Quote

Source Speech: Remarks at a policy forum, Paul Wolfowitz, 2001

Imagination can outpace planning, leaving gaps in preparedness for unexpected crises.

In simple terms: We often lack scenarios for rare, catastrophic events.

Key Takeaway

Plan for unlikely but high‑impact events.

Themes

imagination planning risk unforeseen events

Mood

cautious analytical

Type

strategic warning

When to use this quote

  • national security
  • business continuity
  • disaster response
  • policy making

Key Concepts

strategic foresight scenario analysis security studies

Questions to Reflect On

  • What rare events could we be ignoring?
  • How can we balance imagination with realistic planning?
A Different Perspective

Over‑reliance on imagination may cause complacency.

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