Skip to content

Cease to exist Quote by Niall Ferguson

“It nevertheless remains true that, in most countries for which long-run data are available, stocks have out-performed bonds – by a factor of roughly five over the twentieth century.9 This can scarcely surprise us. Bonds, as we saw in Chapter 2, are no more than promises by governments to pay…” quote by Niall Ferguson
Download Open image
““It nevertheless remains true that, in most countries for which long-run data are available, stocks have out-performed bonds – by a factor of roughly five over the twentieth century.9 This can scarcely surprise us. Bonds, as we saw in Chapter 2, are no more than promises by governments to pay interest and ultimately repay principal over a specified period of time. Either through default or through currency depreciation, many governments have failed to honour those promises. By contrast, a share is a portion of the capital of a profit-making corporation. If the company succeeds in its undertakings, there will not only be dividends, but also a significant probability of capital appreciation. There are of course risks, too. The returns on stocks are less predictable and more volatile than the returns on bonds and bills. There is a significantly higher probability that the average corporation will go bankrupt and cease to exist than that the average sovereign state will disappear. In the event of a corporate bankruptcy, the holders of bonds and other forms of debt will be satisfied first; the equity holders may end up with nothing. For these reasons, economists see the superior returns on stocks as capturing an ‘equity risk premium’ – though clearly in some cases this has been a risk well worth taking.””

Niall Ferguson

About This Quote

Source Book: The Ascent of Money, Niall Ferguson, 2008

Stocks historically outperform bonds because they represent ownership in profitable firms, offering dividends and capital gains, while bonds are government promises that can default or lose value.

In simple terms: Stocks give higher returns than bonds due to ownership and growth potential.

Key Takeaway

Consider equity exposure for long‑term growth.

Themes

investment risk return equity bonds markets

Mood

cautious optimistic analytical

Type

financial educational

When to use this quote

  • retirement planning
  • portfolio diversification
  • wealth building
  • financial education

Key Concepts

equity risk premium volatility default risk capital appreciation dividends

Questions to Reflect On

  • How much risk are you willing to accept for higher returns?
  • What role should bonds play in a balanced portfolio?
A Different Perspective

Higher returns come with greater volatility and potential loss of principal.

2.3 out of 5 (7 ratings)

More by Niall Ferguson

Explore all 124 Niall Ferguson quotes

More Cease to exist quotes

Browse all 215 Cease to exist quotes