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““Perhaps many aid organizations make assumptions about the problem they are solving, and throw hundreds of billions of dollars at the problem to little or no effect.””

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More by Nat Greene

“If you believe that success is inevitable, you’re less likely to work your tail off in order to achieve it. Hard problems are definitely…

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“To solve truly hard problems, you’ll need to use a method that doesn’t involve guessing in any step.”

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“Defining the acceptable and unacceptable ranges for this variable means that the problem definition is objective and immune to opinion.”

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“Embrace your ignorance. Most people try to solve problems using the knowledge they already have about a process, but it’s what you don’t know…

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“When a system isn’t working right, someone has to understand how it’s meant to work, at the right depth, in order to fix it.…

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“When you move down your tree, keep in mind there may be multiple variables contributing to the failure.”

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“There are in fact two things, science and opinion; the former begets knowledge, the latter ignorance. —HIPPOCRATES, ANCIENT GREEK FOUNDER OF THE SCIENCE OF…

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“We need to understand what variables most directly control our primary variable by understanding the science behind how the system works.”

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“The last major risk to getting good facts is our own prejudices. While we may not always test a solution based on our opinions…

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“most methods disguise the guessing stage in some fancy language, such as “determine possible root causes.” This is making a list of guesses, and…

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“Perhaps the most useful approach for defining the problem well is structuring it as a measurable variable.”

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“Don’t confuse believing in a simple solution with hoping that a simple guess will work.”

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Explore all 74 Nat Greene quotes