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Behaviour Quote by Murray Rothbard

“Modern economics is a set of formal models and equations purporting to fully determine human behaviour, at least in the economic realm. And there is no way that uncertainty can be compressed into determinate mathematical models.” quote by Murray Rothbard
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“Modern economics is a set of formal models and equations purporting to fully determine human behaviour, at least in the economic realm. And there is no way that uncertainty can be compressed into determinate mathematical models.”

Murray Rothbard

About This Quote

Source Essay: "The Nature of Economics", Murray Rothbard, 1962

Economic models attempt to fully predict human behavior, but uncertainty cannot be fully captured by deterministic equations.

In simple terms: Models can’t fully predict human uncertainty.

Key Takeaway

Accept limits of economic modeling.

Themes

economics philosophy uncertainty

Mood

analytical skeptical

Type

academic critical

When to use this quote

  • policy analysis
  • academic research
  • financial forecasting

Key Concepts

determinism complex systems

Questions to Reflect On

  • How can we incorporate uncertainty into economics?
  • What alternatives exist to deterministic models?
A Different Perspective

Overreliance on models can mislead decisions.

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