Confirmation Quote by Karl Popper
“It is easy to obtain confirmations, or verifications, for nearly every theory-if we look for confirmations. Confirmations should count only if they are the result of risky predictions... A theory which is not refutable by any conceivable event is non-scientific. Irrefutability is not a virtue of a theory (as people often think) but a vice. Every genuine test of a theory is an attempt to falsify it, or refute it.”
About This Quote
Source Book: Conjectures and Refutations, 1963
Scientific theories must be falsifiable; only risky predictions test validity.
In simple terms: Science advances by trying to prove theories wrong.
Design experiments that could disprove your ideas.
Themes
Mood
Type
When to use this quote
- research design
- policy analysis
- education
- risk assessment
Key Concepts
Questions to Reflect On
- What assumptions in your field resist testing?
- How can you balance falsifiability with practical utility?
Overemphasis on falsification can ignore useful provisional models.