Complex Technical Quote by James S.A. Corey
““It’s a simple complex system. That’s the technical name for it. Because it’s simple, it’s prone to cascades, and because it’s complex, you can’t predict what’s going to fail. Or how. It’s computationally impossible.””
About This Quote
Simple systems can trigger cascading failures, while complex systems are unpredictable, making failures computationally impossible to forecast.
In simple terms: Simple systems cascade; complex systems unpredictable.
Accept limits of prediction.
Themes
Mood
Type
When to use this quote
- engineering
- risk management
- policy design
Key Concepts
Questions to Reflect On
- How do you mitigate unknown failures?
- Can simplicity be engineered safely?
Overreliance on models can be risky.