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Climate Quote by James R. Schlesinger

“We are not good at recognizing distant threats even if their probability is 100%. Society ignoring [peak oil] is like the people of Pompeii ignoring the rumblings below Vesuvius.” quote by James R. Schlesinger
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“We are not good at recognizing distant threats even if their probability is 100%. Society ignoring [peak oil] is like the people of Pompeii ignoring the rumblings below Vesuvius.”

James R. Schlesinger

About This Quote

Source Speech: Energy Policy Address, 1979

Society fails to recognize imminent, certain threats, likened to Pompeii’s denial of volcanic danger.

In simple terms: People ignore obvious dangers.

Key Takeaway

Take warning signs seriously.

Themes

risk perception environment policy

Mood

urgent cautionary

Type

warning analytical

When to use this quote

  • energy planning
  • public safety
  • urban development

Key Concepts

cognitive bias systemic denial

Questions to Reflect On

  • How can societies improve threat detection?
  • What mechanisms prevent denial of obvious risks?
A Different Perspective

Overconfidence can blind decision‑makers to low‑probability risks.

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