Assumptions Quote by J.C. Wylie
““The second reason for which the military mind addresses itself to specific assumed situations is on the occasions when there may in reality exist a set of circumstances wherein either the probability or the potential hazard is so great and so clearly marked that specific and realistic plans can in fact be drawn on the basis of those assumptions.””
About This Quote
The quote explains that military planning focuses on high‑risk scenarios where probability and hazard are clearly significant, allowing realistic plans to be formed.
In simple terms: Military plans target high‑risk, clearly dangerous situations.
Identify and plan for high‑risk scenarios.
Themes
Mood
Type
When to use this quote
- defense policy
- emergency response
- business risk management
Key Concepts
Questions to Reflect On
- How do you balance planning for rare vs. common risks?
- What tools help assess hazard severity?
The focus on extreme cases may neglect everyday low‑probability threats.