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“Most educated people are not set up to listen or change their minds about politics, however sensible they are in other fields.” quote by Dominic Cummings — Download Open image

“Most educated people are not set up to listen or change their minds about politics, however sensible they are in other fields.”

Dominic Cummings

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The reason why Whitehall is full of people failing in predictable ways on an hourly basis is because, first, there is general system-wide failure…

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The audience for facts, evidence and research about microtargeting, Facebook and Brexit is tiny.

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In the commercial world, big companies mostly die within a few decades because they cannot maintain an internal system to keep them aligned to…

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Physicists and mathematicians regularly invade other fields but other fields do not invade theirs so we can see which fields are hardest for very…

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Fundamental to real expertise is 1: whether the informational structure of the environment is sufficiently regular that it's possible to make good predictions and…

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The panic over Sputnik brought many good things such as a huge increase in science funding.

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In history books, luck is always underplayed and the talent of individuals is usually overplayed.

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Changing the world in a profound and beneficial way is not enough to put a dint in bureaucracies which operate on their own dynamics.

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I make judgments about people and ideas individually - for me, parties are just a vehicle of convenience.

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Usually in politics everything is done on hunches.

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Technology enables people to improve communication with unprecedented speed, scale and iterative testing. It also allows people to wreak chaos with high leverage.

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