Daniel Kahneman Quotes

158 quotes in 1877 categories

• We're not aware of changing our minds even when we do change our minds. And most people, after they change their minds, reconstruct their past…
• Spend some effort in figuring out why each decision did or did not pan out. Doing that systematically is key: really try to question the…
• When everybody in a group is susceptible to similar biases, groups are inferior to individuals, because groups tend to be more extreme than individuals.
• People exaggerate their confidence in their plans - something we call the planning fallacy... The existence of the plan tends to induce overconfidence.
• Doubts are suppressed by groups... But remember that the internal incentives that shape how the group perceives risks and rewards may be very different from…
• You can always find an evolutionary quotation for anything. But the question is whether it's functional, which is not the same as being evolutionary.
• What happens with fear is that probability doesn't matter very much. That is, once I have raised the possibility that something terrible can happen to…
• We associate leadership with decisiveness. That perception of leadership pushes people to make decisions fairly quickly, lest they be seen as dithering and indecisive.
• One of the major biases in risky decision making is optimism. Optimism is a source of high-risk thinking.
• A plan is only a scenario, and almost by definition, it is optimistic... As a result, scenario planning can lead to a serious underestimate of…
• People assign much higher probability to the truth of their opinions than is warranted.
• The easiest way to increase happiness is to control your use of time.
• We have associations to things. We have, you know, we have associations to tables and to - and to dogs and to cats and to…
• We have no reason to expect the quality of intuition to improve with the importance of the problem. Perhaps the contrary: high-stake problems are likely…
• We know that the French are very different from the Americans in their satisfaction with life. They're much less satisfied. Americans are pretty high up…
• You know, the standard state for people is 'mildly pleasant.' Negative emotions are quite rare, and extremely positive emotions are rare. But people are mildly…
• When you analyze happiness, it turns out that the way you spend your time is extremely important.
• Nothing in life is quite as important as you think it is while you're thinking about it.
• If people are failing, they look inept. If people are succeeding, they look strong and good and competent. That's the 'halo effect.' Your first impression…
• It's a wonderful thing to be optimistic. It keeps you healthy and it keeps you resilient.

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