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“The thesis that risk assessment itself is inherently risky is nowhere better borne out than in the area of high-consequence risks.” quote by Anthony Giddens
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“The thesis that risk assessment itself is inherently risky is nowhere better borne out than in the area of high-consequence risks.”

Anthony Giddens

About This Quote

Source Academic Article: Risk and Uncertainty, 2004

Risk assessment can paradoxically increase risk, especially in high-stakes contexts, because it may create false confidence or overlook unknowns.

In simple terms: Assessing risk can be risky itself, especially for big threats.

Key Takeaway

Beware overconfidence in risk analysis.

Themes

risk management uncertainty high consequence decision making

Mood

cautious critical

Type

analytical strategic

When to use this quote

  • policy planning
  • financial regulation
  • health safety protocols

Key Concepts

probabilistic reasoning systemic risk cognitive bias

Questions to Reflect On

  • What hidden risks might your assessment ignore?
  • How can you balance thoroughness with agility?
A Different Perspective

Risk assessment may miss rare, unpredictable events.

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