Perhaps more than anything else, failure to recognize the precariousness and fickleness of confidence - especially in cases in which large short-term debts need to be rolled over continuously - is the key factor that gives rise to the this-time-is-different… — Carmen Reinhart Copy Share
If there is one common theme to the vast range of crises...it is that excessive debt accumulation, whether it be by the government, banks, corporations, or consumers, often poses greater systemic risks than it seems during a boom. — Carmen Reinhart Copy Share Image
The essence of the this-time-is-different syndrome is...rooted in the firmly held belief that financial crises are things that happen to other people in other countries at other times; crises do not happen to us, here and now. We are doing things better, we are smarter, we have learned from past mistakes. The old rules of valuation no longer apply. Unfortunately,… — Carmen Reinhart Copy Share
Perhaps more than anything else, failure to recognize the precariousness and fickleness of confidence - especially in cases in which large short-term debts need to be rolled over continuously - is the key factor that gives rise to the this-time-is-different syndrome. Highly indebted governments, banks, or corporations can seem to be merrily rolling along for an extended period, when bang!… — Carmen Reinhart Copy Share
The biggest threat to advanced economies is that debt will accumulate until the overhang weighs on growth. — Carmen Reinhart Copy Share Image
If there is one common theme to the vast range of crises...it is that excessive debt accumulation, whether it be by the government, banks,… — Carmen Reinhart Copy Share Image
