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Goodstein demonstrated that in every case, when compared…

“Goodstein demonstrated that in every case, when compared with the actual costs paid, the estimates were grossly inflated.6 His examples range from asbestos to vinyl, and in all instances but one the estimated cost flowing from regulatory change was at least double the actual cost paid, while in…” quote by Tim Flannery
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““Goodstein demonstrated that in every case, when compared with the actual costs paid, the estimates were grossly inflated.6 His examples range from asbestos to vinyl, and in all instances but one the estimated cost flowing from regulatory change was at least double the actual cost paid, while in some cases estimates were even more exaggerated.””

Tim Flannery

About This Quote

This interpretation was drafted with AI assistance. It is one reading of the quote, not the author's own explanation.

Regulatory cost estimates are often far higher than actual expenses, leading to inflated expectations.

In simple terms: Cost forecasts are exaggerated.

Key Takeaway

Scrutinize cost projections critically.

Themes

economics policy regulation

Mood

analytical skeptical

Type

critical informative

When to use this quote

  • government budgeting
  • environmental policy
  • infrastructure projects
  • business planning

Key Concepts

cost‑benefit analysis risk assessment

Questions to Reflect On

  • How can we improve cost estimation?
  • What checks prevent overestimation?
A Different Perspective

Estimates may be accurate in some cases; uncertainty remains.

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