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During the late war I had an infallible rule for deciding…

“During the late war I had an infallible rule for deciding what Great Britain would do on every occasion. It was, to consider what they ought to do, and to take the reverse of that as what they would assuredly do, and I can say with truth that I was never deceived.” quote by Thomas Jefferson
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“During the late war I had an infallible rule for deciding what Great Britain would do on every occasion. It was, to consider what they ought to do, and to take the reverse of that as what they would assuredly do, and I can say with truth that I was never deceived.”

Thomas Jefferson

About This Quote

This interpretation was drafted with AI assistance. It is one reading of the quote, not the author's own explanation.

Jefferson suggests predicting British actions by assuming they will do the opposite of what they ought to, a cynical view of political behavior.

In simple terms: Predict opponents act contrary to moral duty.

Key Takeaway

Expect opposite behavior from rivals.

Themes

politics strategy skepticism

Mood

cautious analytical

Type

strategic political

When to use this quote

  • diplomacy
  • policy planning
  • negotiations
  • risk assessment

Key Concepts

cynicism prediction power dynamics

Questions to Reflect On

  • How reliable is reverse reasoning?
  • What are its limits?
A Different Perspective

Assumes rationality in reverse.

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