We want to get 80%-85% of predictions right, not 100%. Or…

“You will need to learn how to express-and quantify-the uncertainty in your predictions. You will need to update your forecast as facts and circumstances…

— Nate Silver

The thing that people associate with expertise, authoritativeness, kind of with a capital 'A,' don't correlate very well with who's actually good at making…

— Nate Silver

We need to stop, and admit it: we have a prediction problem. We love to predict things—and we aren’t very good at it.

— Nate Silver

Data-driven predictions can succeed-and they can fail. It is when we deny our role in the process that the odds of failure rise. Before…

— Nate Silver

The shape of the heaven is of necessity spherical; for that is the shape most appropriate to its substance and also by nature primary.

— Aristotle

The future is itself a story, and predictions are stories we tell to amaze ourselves, to give hope to the desperate, to jolt the…

— David Remnick

I've ceased making predictions on things because we'll see how they turn out.

— David Plouffe

The usefulness of the models in constructing a testable theory of the process is severely limited by the quickly increasing number of parameters which…

— Anatol Rapoport

“The most essential prediction of Darwinism is that, given an astronomical number of chances, unintelligent processes can make seemingly-designed systems, ones of the complexity…

— Michael J. Behe

One of the things that I think we have learned is that we should all be very careful about making predictions about the future.

— William J. Clinton

I'm going to make a prediction - it could go either way.

— Ron Atkinson

I have been in relatively high-risk businesses all of my adult life. Few of the others, however, had the possibility of direct gains in…

— Neil Armstrong

The one prediction that never comes true is, 'You'll thank me for telling you this.

— Judith Martin

With high hope for the future, no prediction is ventured.

— Abraham Lincoln

The prediction of nuclear winter is drawn not, of course, from any direct experience with the consequences of global nuclear war, but rather from…

— Carl Sagan