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A good rule of thumb is as follows: If the numbers come…

“A good rule of thumb is as follows: If the numbers come from somebody wearing a tie (Wall Street economist or analyst, industry public relations department, captive think tank academic and so on), you ought to be very skeptical. By design messages from these people are intended to move markets…” quote by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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“A good rule of thumb is as follows: If the numbers come from somebody wearing a tie (Wall Street economist or analyst, industry public relations department, captive think tank academic and so on), you ought to be very skeptical. By design messages from these people are intended to move markets, move merchandise and/or move public policy and are not a comment on the state of the physical universe.”

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

About This Quote

This interpretation was drafted with AI assistance. It is one reading of the quote, not the author's own explanation.

Skeptical of data from sources with vested interests, especially those aiming to influence markets or policy.

In simple terms: Question data from biased sources.

Key Takeaway

Check motives before trusting numbers.

Themes

skepticism bias information markets policy

Mood

cautious critical inquisitive

Type

warning advisory

When to use this quote

  • investment decisions
  • policy analysis
  • media consumption
  • academic research

Key Concepts

conflict of interest agenda setting signal vs noise

Questions to Reflect On

  • How do you verify the independence of a source?
  • What incentives might shape the data presented?
A Different Perspective

Even trusted titles can be manipulated for profit or influence.

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