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Nothing is so unpredictable as a throw of the dice, and…

“Nothing is so unpredictable as a throw of the dice, and yet every man who plays often will at some time or other make a Venus-cast: now and then he indeed will make it twice and even thrice in succession. Are we going to be so feebleminded then as to aver that such a thing happened by the personal…” quote by Marcus Tullius Cicero
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“Nothing is so unpredictable as a throw of the dice, and yet every man who plays often will at some time or other make a Venus-cast: now and then he indeed will make it twice and even thrice in succession. Are we going to be so feebleminded then as to aver that such a thing happened by the personal intervention of Venus rather than by pure luck?”

Marcus Tullius Cicero

About This Quote

This interpretation was drafted with AI assistance. It is one reading of the quote, not the author's own explanation.

Life’s events are governed by chance, not divine meddling; repeated coincidences are still random.

In simple terms: Luck, not gods, explains repeated odd events.

Key Takeaway

Recognize randomness, avoid superstitious explanations.

Themes

chance probability human cognition superstition

Mood

curious analytical

Type

philosophical reflective

When to use this quote

  • gambling
  • stock market
  • medical diagnoses
  • weather forecasting

Key Concepts

determinism randomness cognitive bias

Questions to Reflect On

  • Do you attribute unlikely events to luck or fate?
  • How does recognizing randomness change your decisions?
A Different Perspective

Assumes all coincidences are purely random, ignoring possible patterns.

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