When you're leading, you're generally trying to lead…
“When you're leading, you're generally trying to lead change, and I think it was Roy Amara, who said about technology, "We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate the effect in the long run." And I think the same applies to change within an organization.”
About This Quote
This interpretation was drafted with AI assistance. It is one reading of the quote, not the author's own explanation.
People overestimate short‑term tech impact and underestimate long‑term effects, similar to change initiatives.
In simple terms: Tech hype vs. long‑term reality.
Key Takeaway
Plan for long‑term outcomes.
Themes
technology
change management
leadership
Mood
strategic
pragmatic
Type
advisory
inspirational
When to use this quote
- product launches
- digital transformation
- policy implementation
- strategic planning
Key Concepts
diffusion of innovation
systems thinking
Questions to Reflect On
- How can leaders mitigate short‑term overestimation?
- What metrics reveal long‑term impact?
A Different Perspective
Short‑term results may still be crucial for momentum.