One influential philosophical position about the use of…
“One influential philosophical position about the use of probability in science holds that probabilities are objective only if they are based on micro-physics; all other probabilities should be interpreted subjectively, as merely revealing our ignorance about physical details. I have argued against this position, contending that the objectivity of micro-physical probabilities entails the objectivity of macro-probabilities.”
About This Quote
This interpretation was drafted with AI assistance. It is one reading of the quote, not the author's own explanation.
Objective probabilities are tied to physical laws; other probabilities are subjective, reflecting our ignorance. The author argues that if micro‑physical probabilities are objective, then macro‑probabilities should also be objective.
In simple terms: Physical laws make some probabilities objective; others are subjective.
Question the objectivity of all probabilities.
Themes
Mood
Type
When to use this quote
- research methodology
- risk assessment
- theoretical modeling
Key Concepts
Questions to Reflect On
- Can we ever fully know macro‑probabilities?
- What role does ignorance play in science?
Subjectivity may be unavoidable in complex systems.