---
title: "Meaning & Key Takeaway of: ...the possibility of circular reasoning…"
description: "\"...the possibility of circular reasoning arises-that is, using the temperature record to derive a key input to climate models that are then tested agai..."
image: "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/c32/theodore-wilbur-anderson-28272_arise_the-possibility-of-circular-reasoning-ar_1244376.jpg"
---

#  ...the possibility of circular reasoning arises-that is…

![“...the possibility of circular reasoning arises-that is, using the temperature record to derive a key input to climate models that are then tested against the temperature record.” quote by Theodore Wilbur Anderson](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/c32/theodore-wilbur-anderson-28272_arise_the-possibility-of-circular-reasoning-ar_1244376.jpg)   [Download](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/c32/theodore-wilbur-anderson-28272_arise_the-possibility-of-circular-reasoning-ar_1244376.jpg) [Open image](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/c32/theodore-wilbur-anderson-28272_arise_the-possibility-of-circular-reasoning-ar_1244376.jpg)

> “...the possibility of circular reasoning arises-that is, using the temperature record to derive a key input to climate models that are then tested against the temperature record.”

Theodore Wilbur Anderson

## About This Quote

This interpretation was drafted with AI assistance. It is one reading of the quote, not the author's own explanation.

Using the same data to test a model creates circular reasoning, compromising climate predictions.

**In simple terms:** Circular data use undermines science.

Key Takeaway

Seek independent validation for models.

Themes

scientific method climate modeling logic

Mood

academic informative

Type

Arise:0 Climate:1 Climate change:1 Energy:0 Environment:0 Input:1 Keys:0 Models:1 Possibility:0 Reasoning:1 Records:0 Temperature:1 Tested:0 Circular Reasoning:1 Reasoning Arises:0 Possibility Circular:0 Record Derive:0

When to use this quote

- Sometimes data scarcity forces reuse.

Key Concepts

research design policy making environmental analysis

Questions to Reflect On

- analytical
- critical

A Different Perspective

How can we obtain independent climate data?;What safeguards prevent circular reasoning?

★ ★ ★ ★ ★   No ratings yet

[Climate](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/climate/) [Climate change](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/climate-change/) [Energy](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/energy/) [Environment](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/environment/) [Possibility](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/possibility/) [Reasoning](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/reasoning/)

## Related quotes

> [The Mode of circular reasoning is the form used when the proof itself which ought to establish the matter of inquiry requires confirmation derived…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/sextus-empiricus/the-mode-of-circular-reasoning-is-the-form-used-when-the-proof-itself/)

[Sextus Empiricus](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/sextus-empiricus/)

> [“Circular reasoning is infallible even if not exactly logical, and this is why so many of us so often resort to it—not so much…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/zygmunt-bauman/circular-reasoning-is-infallible-even-if-not-exactly-logical-and-this/)

[Zygmunt Bauman](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/zygmunt-bauman/)

> [You're president, if you conclude my judgment is not the right judgment, I abide by that, but I want an opportunity to have an…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/joe-biden/you-re-president-if-you-conclude-my-judgment-is-not-the-right/)

[Joe Biden](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/joe-biden/)

> [Morality, like other inputs into the social process, follows the law of diminishing returns- meaning ultimately, negative returns. People can be too moral.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/thomas-sowell/morality-like-other-inputs-into-the-social-process-follows-the-law-of/)

[Thomas Sowell](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/thomas-sowell/)

> [As an actor, you never want to feel like a tool. You never want to feel like, "Hey, just come here, say this, stop…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/michael-b-jordan/as-an-actor-you-never-want-to-feel-like-a-tool-you-never-want-to-feel/)

[Michael B. Jordan](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/michael-b-jordan/)

> [I've got to tell you right out of the chute, Ryan Howard, to me, is very interested in my input in his hitting. To…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/mike-schmidt/i-ve-got-to-tell-you-right-out-of-the-chute-ryan-howard-to-me-is-very/)

[Mike Schmidt](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/mike-schmidt/)

> [WASHINGTON - Ever since President Obama ordered American warplanes to begin bombing terrorist targets in Iraq and Syria last year, members of Congress have…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/peter-baker/washington-ever-since-president-obama-ordered-american-warplanes-to/)

[Peter Baker](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/peter-baker/)

> [Generating diverse ideas requires being clear about the kind of input needed and creating multiple ways for diverse team members to share their ideas…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/david-livermore/generating-diverse-ideas-requires-being-clear-about-the-kind-of-input/)

[David Livermore](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/david-livermore/)

> [Democracy is not about trust; it is about distrust. It is about accountability, exposure, open debate, critical challenge, and popular input and feedback from…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/michael-parenti/democracy-is-not-about-trust-it-is-about-distrust-it-is-about/)

[Michael Parenti](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/michael-parenti/)

> [Creativity is an input to innovation and change is the output from innovation.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/braden-kelley/creativity-is-an-input-to-innovation-and-change-is-the-output-from/)

[Braden Kelley](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/braden-kelley/)

> [A 'passing' test doesn't mean 'no problem.' It means no problem \*observed\*. This time. With these inputs. So far. On my machine.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/michael-bolton/a-passing-test-doesn-t-mean-no-problem-it-means-no-problem-observed/)

[Michael Bolton](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/michael-bolton/)

> [Petrol price is a deregulated commodity, price of which is decided by our oil marketing companies based on input cost and other parameters.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/veerappa-moily/petrol-price-is-a-deregulated-commodity-price-of-which-is-decided-by/)

[Veerappa Moily](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/veerappa-moily/)

> [The people and the warmakers are two distinct groups. We must never say 'we' when discussing the US government's foreign policy. For one thing,…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/llewellyn-rockwell/the-people-and-the-warmakers-are-two-distinct-groups-we-must-never/)

[Llewellyn Rockwell](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/llewellyn-rockwell/)

> [ I really enjoyed it - being involved in watching rushes and playback \[in "The Invisible Woman"\]. Ralph \[Fiennes\] was very open to my input,… ](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/felicity-jones/i-really-enjoyed-it-being-involved-in-watching-rushes-and-playback-in/)

[Felicity Jones](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/felicity-jones/)

> [Trying to find this industry's tendency to celebrate the physical is a waste of time. So I'm happy to play the game. But I…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/olivia-wilde/trying-to-find-this-industry-s-tendency-to-celebrate-the-physical-is/)

[Olivia Wilde](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/olivia-wilde/)

## More Arise quotes

> [I think a new world will arise out of the religious mists when we approach our Bible with the idea that it is not…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/aiden-wilson-tozer/i-think-a-new-world-will-arise-out-of-the-religious-mists-when-we/)

[Aiden Wilson Tozer](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/aiden-wilson-tozer/)

> [The financial crisis we are facing today arises from the fact that there is almost no more social, cultural, natural, and spiritual capital left…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/charles-eisenstein/the-financial-crisis-we-are-facing-today-arises-from-the-fact-that/)

[Charles Eisenstein](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/charles-eisenstein/)

> [Let art, then, imitate nature, find what she desires, and follow as she directs. For in invention nature is never last, education never first;…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/marcus-tullius-cicero/let-art-then-imitate-nature-find-what-she-desires-and-follow-as-she/)

[Marcus Tullius Cicero](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/marcus-tullius-cicero/)

> [Do not be satisfied with the speech of your lips and the thought in your heart, all the promises and good sayings in your…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/menachem-mendel-of-kotzk/do-not-be-satisfied-with-the-speech-of-your-lips-and-the-thought-in/)

[Menachem Mendel of Kotzk](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/menachem-mendel-of-kotzk/)

> [Arise Evans had a fungous nose, and said, it was revealed to him, that the King's hand would cure him, and at the first…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/john-aubrey/arise-evans-had-a-fungous-nose-and-said-it-was-revealed-to-him-that/)

[John Aubrey](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/john-aubrey/)

> [Boasting and bravado may exist in the breast even of the coward, if he is successful through a mere lucky hit; but a just…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/thucydides/boasting-and-bravado-may-exist-in-the-breast-even-of-the-coward-if-he/)

[Thucydides](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/thucydides/)

> [We need less travelling by jet plaes from congress to congress... but more kneeling and praying and pleading to God to have mercy on…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/martyn-lloyd-jones/we-need-less-travelling-by-jet-plaes-from-congress-to-congress-but/)

[Martyn Lloyd-Jones](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/martyn-lloyd-jones/)

> [In my model, important interference phenomena arise when individual strata come into contact. These chaotic fluctuations are, I suppose, what my music is really…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/brian-ferneyhough/in-my-model-important-interference-phenomena-arise-when-individual/)

[Brian Ferneyhough](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/brian-ferneyhough/)

> [Whenever you step out of the noise of thinking, that is meditation, and a different state of consciousness arises.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/eckhart-tolle/whenever-you-step-out-of-the-noise-of-thinking-that-is-meditation-and/)

[Eckhart Tolle](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/eckhart-tolle/)

> [An idea or institution may arise for one reason and be maintained for quite a different reason.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/joseph-mccabe/an-idea-or-institution-may-arise-for-one-reason-and-be-maintained-for/)

[Joseph McCabe](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/joseph-mccabe/)

> [The oppressed without hope are mysteriously quiet. When the conception of change is beyond the limits of the possible, there are no words to…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/sheila-rowbotham/the-oppressed-without-hope-are-mysteriously-quiet-when-the-conception/)

[Sheila Rowbotham](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/sheila-rowbotham/)

> [I arise full of eagerness and energy, knowing well what achievement lies ahead of me.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/zane-grey/i-arise-full-of-eagerness-and-energy-knowing-well-what-achievement/)

[Zane Grey](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/zane-grey/)

> [When you train your thoughts to dissolve as they arise, they will cross your mind like a bird crosses the sky--without leaving a trace.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/julietta-suzuki/when-you-train-your-thoughts-to-dissolve-as-they-arise-they-will/)

Julietta Suzuki

> [Nothing, not even the best and noblest, can go on as it now is. Nothing, not even what is lowest and most bestial, will…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/anonymous/nothing-not-even-the-best-and-noblest-can-go-on-as-it-now-is-nothing/)

[Anonymous](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/anonymous/)

> [So we and our elaborately evolving computers may meet each other halfway. Someday a human being, named perhaps Fred White, may shoot a robot…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/philip-k-dick/so-we-and-our-elaborately-evolving-computers-may-meet-each-other/)

[Philip K. Dick](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/philip-k-dick/)

Browse all 1,703 Arise quotes

```json
{
    "@context": "https://schema.org",
    "@graph": [
        {
            "@type": "Quotation",
            "text": "...the possibility of circular reasoning arises-that is, using the temperature record to derive a key input to climate models that are then tested against the temperature record.",
            "creator": {
                "@type": "Person",
                "name": "Theodore Wilbur Anderson"
            },
            "isPartOf": {
                "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/#website"
            },
            "url": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/theodore-wilbur-anderson/the-possibility-of-circular-reasoning-arises-that-is-using-the/",
            "about": {
                "@type": "Thing",
                "name": "Arise"
            },
            "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/theodore-wilbur-anderson/the-possibility-of-circular-reasoning-arises-that-is-using-the/#quotation",
            "image": {
                "@type": "ImageObject",
                "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/c32/theodore-wilbur-anderson-28272_arise_the-possibility-of-circular-reasoning-ar_1244376.jpg",
                "contentUrl": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/c32/theodore-wilbur-anderson-28272_arise_the-possibility-of-circular-reasoning-ar_1244376.jpg",
                "url": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/c32/theodore-wilbur-anderson-28272_arise_the-possibility-of-circular-reasoning-ar_1244376.jpg",
                "width": 1080,
                "height": 1080,
                "caption": "“...the possibility of circular reasoning arises-that is, using the temperature record to derive a key input…” — Theodore Wilbur Anderson",
                "creditText": "SMS4Smile Quotes",
                "creator": {
                    "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/#organization"
                }
            }
        },
        {
            "@type": "BreadcrumbList",
            "itemListElement": [
                {
                    "@type": "ListItem",
                    "position": 1,
                    "name": "Home",
                    "item": "https://sms4smile.com/"
                },
                {
                    "@type": "ListItem",
                    "position": 2,
                    "name": "Quotes",
                    "item": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/"
                },
                {
                    "@type": "ListItem",
                    "position": 3,
                    "name": "Theodore Wilbur Anderson",
                    "item": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/theodore-wilbur-anderson/"
                },
                {
                    "@type": "ListItem",
                    "position": 4,
                    "name": "...the possibility of circular reasoning arises-that...",
                    "item": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/theodore-wilbur-anderson/the-possibility-of-circular-reasoning-arises-that-is-using-the/"
                }
            ],
            "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/theodore-wilbur-anderson/the-possibility-of-circular-reasoning-arises-that-is-using-the/#breadcrumb"
        },
        {
            "@type": "WebSite",
            "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/#website",
            "name": "SMS4Smile Quotes",
            "url": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/",
            "publisher": {
                "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/#organization"
            }
        },
        {
            "@type": "Organization",
            "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/#organization",
            "name": "SMS4Smile Quotes",
            "url": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/",
            "logo": {
                "@type": "ImageObject",
                "url": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/wp-content/themes/sq/assets/icons/icon-512.png",
                "width": 512,
                "height": 512
            }
        }
    ]
}
```
