---
title: "Meaning & Key Takeaway of: One thing I've noticed about history…"
description: "\"One thing I've noticed about history - you can search on newspapers going back hundreds of years, search for 'economic forecast,' you don't find it. It..."
image: "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/68c/robert-j-shiller-8591_back_one-thing-i-ve-noticed-about-history-you_1551518.jpg"
---

#  One thing I've noticed about history - you can search on…

![“One thing I've noticed about history - you can search on newspapers going back hundreds of years, search for 'economic forecast,' you don't find it. It would be very rare to find it.” quote by Robert J. Shiller](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/68c/robert-j-shiller-8591_back_one-thing-i-ve-noticed-about-history-you_1551518.jpg)   [Download](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/68c/robert-j-shiller-8591_back_one-thing-i-ve-noticed-about-history-you_1551518.jpg) [Open image](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/68c/robert-j-shiller-8591_back_one-thing-i-ve-noticed-about-history-you_1551518.jpg)

> “One thing I've noticed about history - you can search on newspapers going back hundreds of years, search for 'economic forecast,' you don't find it. It would be very rare to find it.”

[Robert J. Shiller](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/robert-j-shiller/)

## About This Quote

This interpretation was drafted with AI assistance. It is one reading of the quote, not the author's own explanation.

Historical economic forecasts are rarely documented in newspapers, showing limits of predictive journalism.

**In simple terms:** Economic forecasts rarely appear in old newspapers.

Key Takeaway

Recognize the scarcity of historical forecasts.

Themes

history economics media prediction research

Mood

analytical skeptical

Type

observational informative

When to use this quote

- financial analysis
- academic research
- policy planning

Key Concepts

forecasting archival research media bias

Questions to Reflect On

- How does the lack of past forecasts affect our trust in current predictions?
- What alternative sources could fill this gap?

A Different Perspective

Historical forecasts may exist in niche archives, not mainstream press.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★   No ratings yet

[History](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/history/)

## Related quotes

> [When you close a tab or when you finish an article on the web, it's gone unless you go back into your history or…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/robin-sloan/when-you-close-a-tab-or-when-you-finish-an-article-on-the-web-it-s/)

[Robin Sloan](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/robin-sloan/)

> [The future art historians are going to be software guys who are going to go into the depths of the code to find out…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/bill-viola/the-future-art-historians-are-going-to-be-software-guys-who-are-going/)

[Bill Viola](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/bill-viola/)

> [There have been many men who left behind them that which hundreds of years have not worn out. The earth has Socrates and Plato…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/henry-ward-beecher/there-have-been-many-men-who-left-behind-them-that-which-hundreds-of/)

[Henry Ward Beecher](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/henry-ward-beecher/)

> [I think there is some credibility to the notion that marriage is an institution. It meant something very different hundreds of years ago when…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/zak-orth/i-think-there-is-some-credibility-to-the-notion-that-marriage-is-an/)

[Zak Orth](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/zak-orth/)

> [The Internet has been the most fundamental change during my lifetime and for hundreds of years.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/rupert-murdoch/the-internet-has-been-the-most-fundamental-change-during-my-lifetime/)

[Rupert Murdoch](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/rupert-murdoch/)

> [“The trees are a thousand times taller than me, and hundreds of years older, and the rocks and leaves and plants and animals never…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/ben-stephenson/the-trees-are-a-thousand-times-taller-than-me-and-hundreds-of-years/)

Ben Stephenson

> [I always think the great parts outlive the actors that play them and that's a stage tradition, that goes back hundreds of years and…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/hugh-jackman/i-always-think-the-great-parts-outlive-the-actors-that-play-them-and/)

[Hugh Jackman](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/hugh-jackman/)

> [I hear hundreds of years of life. I hear wind and rain and fire and beetles. I hear the seasons changing and birds and…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/garth-stein/i-hear-hundreds-of-years-of-life-i-hear-wind-and-rain-and-fire-and/)

[Garth Stein](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/garth-stein/)

> [They were kind of like little Stephen King stories... but these go back many hundreds of years.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/michael-mckean/they-were-kind-of-like-little-stephen-king-stories-but-these-go-back/)

[Michael McKean](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/michael-mckean/)

> [I will tell you something else, King, which may be a surprise for you. It will not happen for hundreds of years, but both…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/anonymous/i-will-tell-you-something-else-king-which-may-be-a-surprise-for-you/)

[Anonymous](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/anonymous/)

> [Of the rest some we know to be dead though they walk among us; some are not yet born though they go through the…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/virginia-woolf/of-the-rest-some-we-know-to-be-dead-though-they-walk-among-us-some/)

[Virginia Woolf](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/virginia-woolf/)

> [A person may desire to live for hundreds of years if he works according to this truth because that sort of work will not…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/sri-ishopanishad-mantra-two/a-person-may-desire-to-live-for-hundreds-of-years-if-he-works/)

Sri Ishopanishad Mantra Two

> [“you do get wiser when you live for hundreds of years; but you also have more time to turn out as badly as your…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/anne-rice/you-do-get-wiser-when-you-live-for-hundreds-of-years-but-you-also/)

[Anne Rice](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/anne-rice/)

> [“A library book lasts as long as a house, for hundreds of years. It is not an article for mere consumption, but fairly of…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/thomas-jefferson/a-library-book-lasts-as-long-as-a-house-for-hundreds-of-years-it-is/)

[Thomas Jefferson](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/thomas-jefferson/)

> [Mythology is something that always has opportunities to explore. 'It' has been on Earth for millions of years. He's been in contact with humans…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/andy-muschietti/mythology-is-something-that-always-has-opportunities-to-explore-it/)

[Andy Muschietti](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/andy-muschietti/)

## More by Robert J. Shiller

> [This is an anxiety driven world - the whole world is driven by anxiety. It is anxiety about the aftermath of the global financial…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/robert-j-shiller/this-is-an-anxiety-driven-world-the-whole-world-is-driven-by-anxiety/)

[Robert J. Shiller](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/robert-j-shiller/)

> [The future is always coming up with surprises for us, and the best way to insulate yourself from these surprises is to diversify.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/robert-j-shiller/the-future-is-always-coming-up-with-surprises-for-us-and-the-best-way/)

[Robert J. Shiller](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/robert-j-shiller/)

> [Can a controlled experiment explain why people like Kewpie dolls in one year, Beanie Babies in another, and American Girl dolls this year? Yet…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/robert-j-shiller/can-a-controlled-experiment-explain-why-people-like-kewpie-dolls-in/)

[Robert J. Shiller](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/robert-j-shiller/)

> [News media stimulate bubbles, since stories about them boost their audience.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/robert-j-shiller/news-media-stimulate-bubbles-since-stories-about-them-boost-their/)

[Robert J. Shiller](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/robert-j-shiller/)

> [Diversify, because that helps reduce risk. And you can diversify outside the United States. Some people would never invest in Europe - I think…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/robert-j-shiller/diversify-because-that-helps-reduce-risk-and-you-can-diversify/)

[Robert J. Shiller](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/robert-j-shiller/)

> [I want to know diverse facts about such things as galaxies or molecules or proteins or insect species. I have an impulse to want…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/robert-j-shiller/i-want-to-know-diverse-facts-about-such-things-as-galaxies-or/)

[Robert J. Shiller](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/robert-j-shiller/)

> [When I see the Trump supporters on television explaining themselves, I don't get a feeling of supreme confidence. They've created a revolution, and now…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/robert-j-shiller/when-i-see-the-trump-supporters-on-television-explaining-themselves-i/)

[Robert J. Shiller](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/robert-j-shiller/)

> [I didn't vote for Trump. So we've got him. Let's hope for the best. He might do something good.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/robert-j-shiller/i-didn-t-vote-for-trump-so-we-ve-got-him-let-s-hope-for-the-best-he/)

[Robert J. Shiller](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/robert-j-shiller/)

> [Stock prices are likely to be among the prices that are relatively vulnerable to purely social movements because there is no accepted theory by…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/robert-j-shiller/stock-prices-are-likely-to-be-among-the-prices-that-are-relatively/)

[Robert J. Shiller](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/robert-j-shiller/)

> [Yes, horoscopes still persist in popular newspapers, but they are there only for the severely scientifically challenged, or for entertainment; the idea that the…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/robert-j-shiller/yes-horoscopes-still-persist-in-popular-newspapers-but-they-are-there/)

[Robert J. Shiller](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/robert-j-shiller/)

> [Money management has been a profession involving a lot of fakery - people saying they can beat the market, and they really can't.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/robert-j-shiller/money-management-has-been-a-profession-involving-a-lot-of-fakery/)

[Robert J. Shiller](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/robert-j-shiller/)

> [As far as I can find, almost no one in the profession - not even luminaries like John Maynard Keynes, Friedrich Hayek, or Irving…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/robert-j-shiller/as-far-as-i-can-find-almost-no-one-in-the-profession-not-even/)

[Robert J. Shiller](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/robert-j-shiller/)

> [A lot of people aren't saving enough. And incidentally, people are living longer now, and health care is improving. You might end up retired…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/robert-j-shiller/a-lot-of-people-aren-t-saving-enough-and-incidentally-people-are/)

[Robert J. Shiller](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/robert-j-shiller/)

> [I think we do need to try to not just rely on the central bank to, in its wisdom, adjust interest rates, but allow…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/robert-j-shiller/i-think-we-do-need-to-try-to-not-just-rely-on-the-central-bank-to-in/)

[Robert J. Shiller](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/robert-j-shiller/)

> [My father, Benjamin Shiller, told me not to believe in authorities or celebrities - that society tends to imagine them as superhuman. It's good…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/robert-j-shiller/my-father-benjamin-shiller-told-me-not-to-believe-in-authorities-or/)

[Robert J. Shiller](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/robert-j-shiller/)

[Explore all 79 Robert J. Shiller quotes ](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/robert-j-shiller/)

## More Back quotes

> [I always watch my matches back 100 times afterwards because that's how I improve. This is something I've always done, even in NXT.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/mandy-rose/i-always-watch-my-matches-back-100-times-afterwards-because-that-s/)

[Mandy Rose](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/mandy-rose/)

> [I honestly would like to get that Frankie fight back.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/chad-mendes/i-honestly-would-like-to-get-that-frankie-fight-back/)

[Chad Mendes](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/chad-mendes/)

> [Drumming's pretty physical. We sit at the back of the stage getting beat up like a workhorse.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/tommy-lee/drumming-s-pretty-physical-we-sit-at-the-back-of-the-stage-getting/)

[Tommy Lee](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/tommy-lee/)

> [I never want to look back on any moment and say I could have done more. So I go all in.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/scott-haze/i-never-want-to-look-back-on-any-moment-and-say-i-could-have-done/)

[Scott Haze](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/scott-haze/)

> [I wish that I had known back then that a mastery of process would lead to a product. Then I probably wouldn't have found…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/elizabeth-george/i-wish-that-i-had-known-back-then-that-a-mastery-of-process-would/)

[Elizabeth George](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/elizabeth-george/)

> [It's what the people wanted at the time, but the country could not be half-segregated and half-integrated, just as it could not be half-slave…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/george-wallace/it-s-what-the-people-wanted-at-the-time-but-the-country-could-not-be/)

[George Wallace](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/george-wallace/)

> [I've always stuck my arms behind my back anyway when trying to block a shot in the penalty area.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/millie-bright/i-ve-always-stuck-my-arms-behind-my-back-anyway-when-trying-to-block/)

[Millie Bright](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/millie-bright/)

> [I'm sure at some point I will get back into coaching, but right now I need to focus completely on my kids.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/patrick-ewing/i-m-sure-at-some-point-i-will-get-back-into-coaching-but-right-now-i/)

[Patrick Ewing](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/patrick-ewing/)

> [Any time someone achieves success before they've earned it, it always comes back to haunt them.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/ron-white/any-time-someone-achieves-success-before-they-ve-earned-it-it-always/)

[Ron White](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/ron-white/)

> [In Congress, Florida Republicans worked with the Trump administration to secure funding for coastal restoration projects following the devastating impacts of Hurricanes Irma and…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/michael-waltz/in-congress-florida-republicans-worked-with-the-trump-administration/)

[Michael Waltz](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/michael-waltz/)

> [Back in the really olden days, dinner was seldom a ceremonial event for U.S. families. Only the very wealthy had a separate dining room.…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/nancy-gibbs/back-in-the-really-olden-days-dinner-was-seldom-a-ceremonial-event/)

[Nancy Gibbs](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/nancy-gibbs/)

> [We're all painfully aware of how suddenly violence can occur, how crippling it is, and how survivors have to find a way back from…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/paul-dini/we-re-all-painfully-aware-of-how-suddenly-violence-can-occur-how/)

[Paul Dini](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/paul-dini/)

> [Ronaldo is just an athlete. He works so hard and back to back; he is always there. But if you work hard, can you…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/edgar-davids/ronaldo-is-just-an-athlete-he-works-so-hard-and-back-to-back-he-is/)

[Edgar Davids](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/edgar-davids/)

> [I do spend a lot of weekends on the road. I have to pace myself. It can be pretty busy, but I'm not out…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/gary-sinise/i-do-spend-a-lot-of-weekends-on-the-road-i-have-to-pace-myself-it-can/)

[Gary Sinise](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/gary-sinise/)

> [British Forces should be in a position to give back in a ten fold measure any attack that the Germans may attempt.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/frederick-banting/british-forces-should-be-in-a-position-to-give-back-in-a-ten-fold/)

[Frederick Banting](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/frederick-banting/)

Browse all 9,709 Back quotes

```json
{
    "@context": "https://schema.org",
    "@graph": [
        {
            "@type": "Quotation",
            "text": "One thing I've noticed about history - you can search on newspapers going back hundreds of years, search for 'economic forecast,' you don't find it. It would be very rare to find it.",
            "creator": {
                "@type": "Person",
                "name": "Robert J. Shiller"
            },
            "isPartOf": {
                "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/#website"
            },
            "url": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/robert-j-shiller/one-thing-i-ve-noticed-about-history-you-can-search-on-newspapers/",
            "about": {
                "@type": "Thing",
                "name": "Back"
            },
            "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/robert-j-shiller/one-thing-i-ve-noticed-about-history-you-can-search-on-newspapers/#quotation",
            "image": {
                "@type": "ImageObject",
                "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/68c/robert-j-shiller-8591_back_one-thing-i-ve-noticed-about-history-you_1551518.jpg",
                "contentUrl": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/68c/robert-j-shiller-8591_back_one-thing-i-ve-noticed-about-history-you_1551518.jpg",
                "url": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/68c/robert-j-shiller-8591_back_one-thing-i-ve-noticed-about-history-you_1551518.jpg",
                "width": 1080,
                "height": 1080,
                "caption": "“One thing I've noticed about history - you can search on newspapers going back hundreds of years, search for…” — Robert J. Shiller",
                "creditText": "SMS4Smile Quotes",
                "creator": {
                    "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/#organization"
                }
            }
        },
        {
            "@type": "BreadcrumbList",
            "itemListElement": [
                {
                    "@type": "ListItem",
                    "position": 1,
                    "name": "Home",
                    "item": "https://sms4smile.com/"
                },
                {
                    "@type": "ListItem",
                    "position": 2,
                    "name": "Quotes",
                    "item": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/"
                },
                {
                    "@type": "ListItem",
                    "position": 3,
                    "name": "Robert J. Shiller",
                    "item": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/robert-j-shiller/"
                },
                {
                    "@type": "ListItem",
                    "position": 4,
                    "name": "One thing I've noticed about history...",
                    "item": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/robert-j-shiller/one-thing-i-ve-noticed-about-history-you-can-search-on-newspapers/"
                }
            ],
            "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/robert-j-shiller/one-thing-i-ve-noticed-about-history-you-can-search-on-newspapers/#breadcrumb"
        },
        {
            "@type": "WebSite",
            "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/#website",
            "name": "SMS4Smile Quotes",
            "url": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/",
            "publisher": {
                "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/#organization"
            }
        },
        {
            "@type": "Organization",
            "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/#organization",
            "name": "SMS4Smile Quotes",
            "url": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/",
            "logo": {
                "@type": "ImageObject",
                "url": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/wp-content/themes/sq/assets/icons/icon-512.png",
                "width": 512,
                "height": 512
            }
        }
    ]
}
```
