--- title: "Meaning & Key Takeaway of: Although I'm not prepared to move up my…" description: "\"Although I'm not prepared to move up my prediction of a computer passing the Turing test by 2029, the progress that has been achieved in systems like W..." image: "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/802/ray-kurzweil-3529_advent_although-i-m-not-prepared-to-move-up-my_715802.jpg" --- # Although I'm not prepared to move up my prediction of a… ![“Although I'm not prepared to move up my prediction of a computer passing the Turing test by 2029, the progress that has been achieved in systems like Watson should give anyone substantial confidence that the advent of Turing-level AI is close at hand. If one were to create a version of Watson that…” quote by Ray Kurzweil](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/802/ray-kurzweil-3529_advent_although-i-m-not-prepared-to-move-up-my_715802.jpg) [Download](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/802/ray-kurzweil-3529_advent_although-i-m-not-prepared-to-move-up-my_715802.jpg) [Open image](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/802/ray-kurzweil-3529_advent_although-i-m-not-prepared-to-move-up-my_715802.jpg) > “Although I'm not prepared to move up my prediction of a computer passing the Turing test by 2029, the progress that has been achieved in systems like Watson should give anyone substantial confidence that the advent of Turing-level AI is close at hand. If one were to create a version of Watson that was optimized for the Turing test, it would probably come pretty close.” [Ray Kurzweil](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/ray-kurzweil/) ## About This Quote This interpretation was drafted with AI assistance. It is one reading of the quote, not the author's own explanation. Current AI advances suggest a Turing‑level machine could appear soon, though exact timing is uncertain. **In simple terms:** AI is nearing human‑like intelligence. Key Takeaway Prepare for rapid AI evolution. Themes AI future prediction Mood cautious forward‑looking Type analytical inspirational When to use this quote - tech policy - education curricula - investment planning Key Concepts Turing test machine intelligence technological progress Questions to Reflect On - What safeguards are needed for near‑human AI? - How will society adapt to rapid AI change? A Different Perspective Predictions may be overly optimistic. ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ No ratings yet [Advent](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/advent/) [Computer](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/computer/) [Computers](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/computers/) [Confidence](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/confidence/) [Giving](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/giving/) [Predictions](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/predictions/) [Progress](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/progress/) [Technology](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/technology/) [Tests](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/tests/) ## Related quotes > [“Alan Turing proposed the Turing Test: a computer is intelligent if you can't tell it from a human when you talk with it. No…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/cjs-hayward/alan-turing-proposed-the-turing-test-a-computer-is-intelligent-if-you/) [CJS Hayward](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/cjs-hayward/) > [“What's the point in being here if you have to follow a computer? What is this, a fucking Turing test in reverse?”](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/ahmir-questlove-thompson/what-s-the-point-in-being-here-if-you-have-to-follow-a-computer-what/) [Ahmir Questlove Thompson](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/ahmir-questlove-thompson/) > [In the field of Artificial Intelligence there is no more iconic and controversial milestone than the Turing Test, when a computer convinces a sufficient…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/kevin-warwick/in-the-field-of-artificial-intelligence-there-is-no-more-iconic-and/) [Kevin Warwick](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/kevin-warwick/) > [“here’s a toast to Alan Turing born in harsher, darker times who thought outside the container and loved outside the lines and so the…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/matt-harvey/here-s-a-toast-to-alan-turing-born-in-harsher-darker-times-who/) [Matt Harvey](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/matt-harvey/) > [“Love is the Turing test, says Ilet when she is eighty and drawing up the plans for a massive, luminous, lonely ship she will…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/catherynne-m-valente/love-is-the-turing-test-says-ilet-when-she-is-eighty-and-drawing-up/) [Catherynne M. Valente](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/catherynne-m-valente/) > [“The Turing Test is simply a replication of a mundane test every gay man had to undergo in 1950s Britain: can you pass for…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/yuval-noah-harari/the-turing-test-is-simply-a-replication-of-a-mundane-test-every-gay/) [Yuval Noah Harari](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/yuval-noah-harari/) > [“But the Turing test cuts both ways. You can't tell if a machine has gotten smarter or if you've just lowered your own standards…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/jaron-lanier/but-the-turing-test-cuts-both-ways-you-can-t-tell-if-a-machine-has/) [Jaron Lanier](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/jaron-lanier/) > [“humanity. The roots of the Turing Test in logical positivism and English philosophy is part of the problem. Turing was trying to find a…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/david-boyle/humanity-the-roots-of-the-turing-test-in-logical-positivism-and/) David Boyle > [“We could try the Turin test," said Lobsang. "Oh, machines have been able to pass the Turing test for years." "No, the Turin test.…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/stephen-baxter/we-could-try-the-turin-test-said-lobsang-oh-machines-have-been-able/) [Stephen Baxter](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/stephen-baxter/) > [I failed the Turing Test](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/leilani-spencer-goodsir/i-failed-the-turing-test/) [Leilani Spencer-Goodsir](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/leilani-spencer-goodsir/) > [“We go through digital life, in the twenty-first century, with our guards up. All communication is a Turing test. All communication is suspect.”](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/brian-christian/we-go-through-digital-life-in-the-twenty-first-century-with-our/) [Brian Christian](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/brian-christian/) > [ “Love is the Turing test, \[...\] It is how we check for life. ” ](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/catherynne-m-valente/love-is-the-turing-test-it-is-how-we-check-for-life/) [Catherynne M. Valente](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/catherynne-m-valente/) > [“What a familiarity with the construction of Turing test bots had begun to show me was that we fail - again and again- to…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/brian-christian/what-a-familiarity-with-the-construction-of-turing-test-bots-had/) [Brian Christian](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/brian-christian/) > [“So are you conscious?” The alien robot—the skin the Miller construct was using—shrugged. It was strange how well the gesture translated. “Don’t know. Seems…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/james-s-a-corey/so-are-you-conscious-the-alien-robot-the-skin-the-miller-construct/) [James S.A. Corey](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/james-s-a-corey/) > [The Turing Test was a brilliant idea, but it's evolved into a competition of chatbots.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/oren-etzioni/the-turing-test-was-a-brilliant-idea-but-it-s-evolved-into-a/) [Oren Etzioni](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/oren-etzioni/) ## More by Ray Kurzweil > [We are beginning to see intimations of this in the implantation of computer devices into the human body.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/ray-kurzweil/we-are-beginning-to-see-intimations-of-this-in-the-implantation-of/) [Ray Kurzweil](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/ray-kurzweil/) > [The telephone is virtual reality in that you can meet with someone as if you are together, at least for the auditory sense.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/ray-kurzweil/the-telephone-is-virtual-reality-in-that-you-can-meet-with-someone-as/) [Ray Kurzweil](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/ray-kurzweil/) > [By 2010 computers will disappear. They'll be so small, they'll be embedded in our clothing, in our environment. Images will be written directly to…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/ray-kurzweil/by-2010-computers-will-disappear-they-ll-be-so-small-they-ll-be/) [Ray Kurzweil](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/ray-kurzweil/) > [All different forms of human expression, art, science, are going to become expanded, by expanding our intelligence.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/ray-kurzweil/all-different-forms-of-human-expression-art-science-are-going-to/) [Ray Kurzweil](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/ray-kurzweil/) > [Doing real world projects is, I think, the best way to learn and also to engage the world and find out what the world…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/ray-kurzweil/doing-real-world-projects-is-i-think-the-best-way-to-learn-and-also/) [Ray Kurzweil](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/ray-kurzweil/) > [Take death for example. A great deal of our effort goes into avoiding it. We make extraordinary efforts to delay it, and often consider…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/ray-kurzweil/take-death-for-example-a-great-deal-of-our-effort-goes-into-avoiding/) [Ray Kurzweil](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/ray-kurzweil/) > [By the time we get to the 2040s, we'll be able to multiply human intelligence a billionfold. That will be a profound change that's…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/ray-kurzweil/by-the-time-we-get-to-the-2040s-we-ll-be-able-to-multiply-human/) [Ray Kurzweil](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/ray-kurzweil/) > [We're democratizing the tools of creativity.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/ray-kurzweil/we-re-democratizing-the-tools-of-creativity/) [Ray Kurzweil](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/ray-kurzweil/) > [A Singularitarian is someone who understands the Singularity and has reflected on its meaning for his or her own life.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/ray-kurzweil/a-singularitarian-is-someone-who-understands-the-singularity-and-has/) [Ray Kurzweil](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/ray-kurzweil/) > [A lot of movies about artificial intelligence envision that AIs will be very intelligent but missing some key emotional qualities of humans and therefore…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/ray-kurzweil/a-lot-of-movies-about-artificial-intelligence-envision-that-ais-will/) [Ray Kurzweil](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/ray-kurzweil/) > [The key issue as to whether or not a non-biological entity deserves rights really comes down to whether or not it's conscious… Does it…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/ray-kurzweil/the-key-issue-as-to-whether-or-not-a-non-biological-entity-deserves/) [Ray Kurzweil](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/ray-kurzweil/) > [We'll be able to have very intelligent, little robots with computers going inside our bloodstream, keeping us healthy from inside, destroying cancer at the…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/ray-kurzweil/we-ll-be-able-to-have-very-intelligent-little-robots-with-computers/) [Ray Kurzweil](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/ray-kurzweil/) > [The ethical debates are like stones in a stream. The water runs around them. You haven't seen any biological technologies held up for one…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/ray-kurzweil/the-ethical-debates-are-like-stones-in-a-stream-the-water-runs-around/) [Ray Kurzweil](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/ray-kurzweil/) > [By the end of this decade, computers will disappear as distinct physical objects, with displays built in our eyeglasses, and electronics woven in our…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/ray-kurzweil/by-the-end-of-this-decade-computers-will-disappear-as-distinct/) [Ray Kurzweil](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/ray-kurzweil/) > [As you go out to the 2040s, now the bulk of our thinking is out in the cloud. The biological portion of our brain…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/ray-kurzweil/as-you-go-out-to-the-2040s-now-the-bulk-of-our-thinking-is-out-in-the/) [Ray Kurzweil](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/ray-kurzweil/) [Explore all 127 Ray Kurzweil quotes ](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/ray-kurzweil/) ## More Advent quotes > [“Liturgy gathers the holy community as it reads the Holy Scriptures into the sweeping tidal rhythms of the church year in which the story…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/eugene-h-peterson/liturgy-gathers-the-holy-community-as-it-reads-the-holy-scriptures/) [Eugene H. Peterson](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/eugene-h-peterson/) > [“History reveals that times of suffering for the church have also been times of looking upward. Tribulation has always sobered God’s people and encouraged…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/a-w-tozer/history-reveals-that-times-of-suffering-for-the-church-have-also-been/) [A.W. Tozer](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/a-w-tozer/) > [Advent is patience it's how God has made us a people of promise, in a world of impatience.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/stanley-hauerwas/advent-is-patience-it-s-how-god-has-made-us-a-people-of-promise-in-a/) [Stanley Hauerwas](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/stanley-hauerwas/) > [Two hundred years ago, before the advent of capitalism, a man's social status was fixed from the beginning to the end of his life;…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/ludwig-von-mises/two-hundred-years-ago-before-the-advent-of-capitalism-a-man-s-social/) [Ludwig von Mises](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/ludwig-von-mises/) > [ Hypertext makes a virtue out of lack of organization, allowing ideas and thoughts to be juxtaposed at will. \[...\] The advent of hypertext is… ](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/donald-a-norman/hypertext-makes-a-virtue-out-of-lack-of-organization-allowing-ideas/) [Donald A. Norman](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/donald-a-norman/) > [Critics of the war plans (including myself) have pointed to the disastrous political results that must be expected: Iraq would break into three parts…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/uri-avnery/critics-of-the-war-plans-including-myself-have-pointed-to-the/) [Uri Avnery](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/uri-avnery/) > [The true sovereign is not the American president nor the English king, but the Lord of the Second Advent.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/sun-myung-moon/the-true-sovereign-is-not-the-american-president-nor-the-english-king/) [Sun Myung Moon](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/sun-myung-moon/) > [For years, particularly with the advent of the Internet, people have been griping about lessening attention spans.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/kevin-spacey/for-years-particularly-with-the-advent-of-the-internet-people-have/) [Kevin Spacey](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/kevin-spacey/) > [“It is now, at Advent, that I am given the chance to suspend all expectation...and instead to revel in the mystery.”](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/jerusalem-jackson-greer/it-is-now-at-advent-that-i-am-given-the-chance-to-suspend-all/) [Jerusalem Jackson Greer](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/jerusalem-jackson-greer/) > [“On this eve of Christmas, whether you feel yourself to be surrounded by earthly blessings or whether you feel your blessings to be few,…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/kerry-van-der-vinne/on-this-eve-of-christmas-whether-you-feel-yourself-to-be-surrounded/) Kerry van der Vinne > [If you thought the advent of the Internet, the spread of cheap and efficient information technology, and the growing fragmentation of the consumer market…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/james-surowiecki/if-you-thought-the-advent-of-the-internet-the-spread-of-cheap-and/) [James Surowiecki](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/james-surowiecki/) > [I think there is no doubt that the advent of 24/7 news channels, which are voracious in their demand for constant new content, has…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/tony-abbott/i-think-there-is-no-doubt-that-the-advent-of-24-7-news-channels-which/) [Tony Abbott](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/tony-abbott/) > [The advent of AIDS circa 1980 has really forced medicine and biology to take enormous steps just for sheer survival. 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