--- title: "Meaning & Key Takeaway of: Usually, I chalk Democratic dreams of a…" description: "\"Usually, I chalk Democratic dreams of a blue Texas to the same sort of thinking that brought us the inevitability of the coalition of the ascendant and..." image: "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/8e6/krystal-ball-11862_donald-trump_usually-i-chalk-democratic-dreams-of-a-b_3101446.jpg" --- # Usually, I chalk Democratic dreams of a blue Texas to the… ![“Usually, I chalk Democratic dreams of a blue Texas to the same sort of thinking that brought us the inevitability of the coalition of the ascendant and 100% certainty that Donald Trump was going to lose.” quote by Krystal Ball](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/8e6/krystal-ball-11862_donald-trump_usually-i-chalk-democratic-dreams-of-a-b_3101446.jpg) [Download](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/8e6/krystal-ball-11862_donald-trump_usually-i-chalk-democratic-dreams-of-a-b_3101446.jpg) [Open image](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/8e6/krystal-ball-11862_donald-trump_usually-i-chalk-democratic-dreams-of-a-b_3101446.jpg) > “Usually, I chalk Democratic dreams of a blue Texas to the same sort of thinking that brought us the inevitability of the coalition of the ascendant and 100% certainty that Donald Trump was going to lose.” [Krystal Ball](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/krystal-ball/) ## About This Quote This interpretation was drafted with AI assistance. It is one reading of the quote, not the author's own explanation. Predicting political outcomes based on past patterns can be unreliable, as certainty often ignores complex dynamics. **In simple terms:** Predicting elections is uncertain despite confidence. Key Takeaway Question assumptions about certainty. Themes politics prediction certainty democracy media Mood critical analytical Type cautionary analytical When to use this quote - election forecasts - campaign strategy - media analysis Key Concepts probabilistic reasoning cognitive bias Questions to Reflect On - What evidence challenges your certainty? - How do you handle unexpected political shifts? A Different Perspective Overconfidence can blind us to emerging factors. ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ No ratings yet [Dreams](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/dreams/) [Thinking](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/thinking/) ## Related quotes > [Thou who didst waken from his summer dreams The blue Mediterranean, where he lay, Lull'd by the coil of his crystalline streams Beside a…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/percy-bysshe-shelley/thou-who-didst-waken-from-his-summer-dreams-the-blue-mediterranean/) [Percy Bysshe Shelley](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/percy-bysshe-shelley/) > [If we turn our backs on the remaining industries and not reinvest in these places and just say 'You're on your own,' we will…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/john-fetterman/if-we-turn-our-backs-on-the-remaining-industries-and-not-reinvest-in/) [John Fetterman](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/john-fetterman/) > [Donald Trump is not going to be the nominee, because we are not going to allow - people will wake up and we're not…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/marco-rubio/donald-trump-is-not-going-to-be-the-nominee-because-we-are-not-going/) [Marco Rubio](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/marco-rubio/) > [ If \[Donald\] Trump throws 20 million off of health care, that's going to be - if he handles this badly - and it's very… ](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/van-jones/if-donald-trump-throws-20-million-off-of-health-care-that-s-going-to/) [Van Jones](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/van-jones/) > [Donald Trump so far is sending a signal that he's going to run the government like his business and maybe that's going to work.…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/bill-o-reilly/donald-trump-so-far-is-sending-a-signal-that-he-s-going-to-run-the/) [Bill O'Reilly](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/bill-o-reilly/) > [Donald Trump doesn't necessarily stay mad for very long. He's a transactional guy. If you can offer him something, he will take it. Or…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/michael-wolff/donald-trump-doesn-t-necessarily-stay-mad-for-very-long-he-s-a/) [Michael Wolff](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/michael-wolff/) > [ Donald Trump has opened \[ politically correct enforcement\] up wide. He's made a very bold statement and he's backed it back just a little… ](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/ted-cruz/donald-trump-has-opened-politically-correct-enforcement-up-wide-he-s/) [Ted Cruz](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/ted-cruz/) > [At minimum, we must recognize that there are legitimate, unanswered questions about whether the Obama Justice Department involved themselves in a political project targeting…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/mark-meadows/at-minimum-we-must-recognize-that-there-are-legitimate-unanswered/) [Mark Meadows](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/mark-meadows/) > [Donald Trump is temperamentally unfit.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/barack-obama/donald-trump-is-temperamentally-unfit/) [Barack Obama](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/barack-obama/) > [Donald Trump has been rewriting the rules since he got into politics.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/christopher-michael-cillizza/donald-trump-has-been-rewriting-the-rules-since-he-got-into-politics/) [Christopher Michael Cillizza](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/christopher-michael-cillizza/) > [Donald Trump is a different ball of wax. I've been trying to say for I don't know how many months now that the traditional…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/rush-limbaugh/donald-trump-is-a-different-ball-of-wax-i-ve-been-trying-to-say-for-i/) [Rush Limbaugh](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/rush-limbaugh/) > [When it comes to bullying small businesses, Donald Trump is the poster boy.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/hillary-clinton/when-it-comes-to-bullying-small-businesses-donald-trump-is-the-poster/) [Hillary Clinton](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/hillary-clinton/) > [We're going to create factory jobs for recent immigrants, and Donald Trump is going to take care of them. That's why his numbers, even…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/jeff-sessions/we-re-going-to-create-factory-jobs-for-recent-immigrants-and-donald/) [Jeff Sessions](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/jeff-sessions/) > [ Vote for Donald Trump. You're going to see something and you'll be so happy, you'll be so thrilled. This \[presidential\] election is about every… ](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/donald-trump/vote-for-donald-trump-you-re-going-to-see-something-and-you-ll-be-so/) [Donald Trump](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/donald-trump/) > [I'm not here trying to convince anybody to vote for Donald Trump. I think every Christian needs to make up his own mind about…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/robert-jeffress/i-m-not-here-trying-to-convince-anybody-to-vote-for-donald-trump-i/) [Robert Jeffress](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/robert-jeffress/) ## More by Krystal Ball > [The American people are incredibly generous and even playful when you open yourself up and feed the media beast until it goes away satisfied.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/krystal-ball/the-american-people-are-incredibly-generous-and-even-playful-when-you/) [Krystal Ball](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/krystal-ball/) > [While President Obama assumes that at their core the Republican leadership team is just trying to do what's best for America, Mitch McConnell and…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/krystal-ball/while-president-obama-assumes-that-at-their-core-the-republican/) [Krystal Ball](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/krystal-ball/) > [The Trump administration has been quietly moving to systematically undermine health care putting lives at risk and offering no alternative solution.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/krystal-ball/the-trump-administration-has-been-quietly-moving-to-systematically/) [Krystal Ball](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/krystal-ball/) > [Voters do not choose candidates because of their ideological fit. They choose them because of their cultural fit.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/krystal-ball/voters-do-not-choose-candidates-because-of-their-ideological-fit-they/) [Krystal Ball](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/krystal-ball/) > [For a long time, Americans have bought into the meritocracy, the American dream ideal. But when we watched banksters completely destroy our economy and…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/krystal-ball/for-a-long-time-americans-have-bought-into-the-meritocracy-the/) [Krystal Ball](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/krystal-ball/) > [I've lived in the state almost my entire life, so I think if I ever wanted to come back and serve in Virginia, it…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/krystal-ball/i-ve-lived-in-the-state-almost-my-entire-life-so-i-think-if-i-ever/) [Krystal Ball](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/krystal-ball/) > [As soon as you know that someone is running for office, it puts a distance between you and that person.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/krystal-ball/as-soon-as-you-know-that-someone-is-running-for-office-it-puts-a/) [Krystal Ball](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/krystal-ball/) > [I have a message for any young woman who is thinking about running for office and has ever attended a costume party... or done…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/krystal-ball/i-have-a-message-for-any-young-woman-who-is-thinking-about-running/) [Krystal Ball](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/krystal-ball/) > [You cannot win the democratic nomination if you are not trusted on the most important issue to democratic voters.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/krystal-ball/you-cannot-win-the-democratic-nomination-if-you-are-not-trusted-on/) [Krystal Ball](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/krystal-ball/) > [To my friends on the right, Katie Hill's national shaming is as much an example of an out of control cancel culture as anything…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/krystal-ball/to-my-friends-on-the-right-katie-hill-s-national-shaming-is-as-much/) [Krystal Ball](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/krystal-ball/) > [If you want to understand why something is happening in America just follow the money.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/krystal-ball/if-you-want-to-understand-why-something-is-happening-in-america-just/) [Krystal Ball](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/krystal-ball/) > [We can all mouth the words that every human is fundamentally worthy, but we don't act like it. We don't even believe it about…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/krystal-ball/we-can-all-mouth-the-words-that-every-human-is-fundamentally-worthy/) [Krystal Ball](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/krystal-ball/) > [It can be really lonely running for office, especially if you've never done it before and especially when all the normal channels of power…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/krystal-ball/it-can-be-really-lonely-running-for-office-especially-if-you-ve-never/) [Krystal Ball](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/krystal-ball/) > [But the truth is the meritocracy is a lie. Those born into wealth and privilege will always be able to game the system for…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/krystal-ball/but-the-truth-is-the-meritocracy-is-a-lie-those-born-into-wealth-and/) [Krystal Ball](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/krystal-ball/) > [Most of you probably already know this but for those who don't, I was a bit of a trailblazer in the field of salacious…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/krystal-ball/most-of-you-probably-already-know-this-but-for-those-who-don-t-i-was/) [Krystal Ball](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/krystal-ball/) [Explore all 57 Krystal Ball quotes ](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/krystal-ball/) ## More Donald trump quotes > [I'm not here trying to convince anybody to vote for Donald Trump. I think every Christian needs to make up his own mind about…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/robert-jeffress/i-m-not-here-trying-to-convince-anybody-to-vote-for-donald-trump-i/) [Robert Jeffress](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/robert-jeffress/) > [ Vote for Donald Trump. You're going to see something and you'll be so happy, you'll be so thrilled. This \[presidential\] election is about every… ](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/donald-trump/vote-for-donald-trump-you-re-going-to-see-something-and-you-ll-be-so/) [Donald Trump](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/donald-trump/) > [We're going to create factory jobs for recent immigrants, and Donald Trump is going to take care of them. That's why his numbers, even…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/jeff-sessions/we-re-going-to-create-factory-jobs-for-recent-immigrants-and-donald/) [Jeff Sessions](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/jeff-sessions/) > [When it comes to bullying small businesses, Donald Trump is the poster boy.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/hillary-clinton/when-it-comes-to-bullying-small-businesses-donald-trump-is-the-poster/) [Hillary Clinton](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/hillary-clinton/) > [Donald Trump is a different ball of wax. I've been trying to say for I don't know how many months now that the traditional…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/rush-limbaugh/donald-trump-is-a-different-ball-of-wax-i-ve-been-trying-to-say-for-i/) [Rush Limbaugh](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/rush-limbaugh/) > [Donald Trump has been rewriting the rules since he got into politics.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/christopher-michael-cillizza/donald-trump-has-been-rewriting-the-rules-since-he-got-into-politics/) [Christopher Michael Cillizza](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/christopher-michael-cillizza/) > [Donald Trump is temperamentally unfit.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/barack-obama/donald-trump-is-temperamentally-unfit/) [Barack Obama](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/barack-obama/) > [At minimum, we must recognize that there are legitimate, unanswered questions about whether the Obama Justice Department involved themselves in a political project targeting…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/mark-meadows/at-minimum-we-must-recognize-that-there-are-legitimate-unanswered/) [Mark Meadows](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/mark-meadows/) > [ Donald Trump has opened \[ politically correct enforcement\] up wide. He's made a very bold statement and he's backed it back just a little… ](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/ted-cruz/donald-trump-has-opened-politically-correct-enforcement-up-wide-he-s/) [Ted Cruz](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/ted-cruz/) > [Donald Trump doesn't necessarily stay mad for very long. He's a transactional guy. If you can offer him something, he will take it. Or…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/michael-wolff/donald-trump-doesn-t-necessarily-stay-mad-for-very-long-he-s-a/) [Michael Wolff](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/michael-wolff/) > [Donald Trump so far is sending a signal that he's going to run the government like his business and maybe that's going to work.…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/bill-o-reilly/donald-trump-so-far-is-sending-a-signal-that-he-s-going-to-run-the/) [Bill O'Reilly](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/bill-o-reilly/) > [ If \[Donald\] Trump throws 20 million off of health care, that's going to be - if he handles this badly - and it's very… ](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/van-jones/if-donald-trump-throws-20-million-off-of-health-care-that-s-going-to/) [Van Jones](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/van-jones/) > [Donald Trump is not going to be the nominee, because we are not going to allow - people will wake up and we're not…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/marco-rubio/donald-trump-is-not-going-to-be-the-nominee-because-we-are-not-going/) [Marco Rubio](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/marco-rubio/) > [If we turn our backs on the remaining industries and not reinvest in these places and just say 'You're on your own,' we will…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/john-fetterman/if-we-turn-our-backs-on-the-remaining-industries-and-not-reinvest-in/) [John Fetterman](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/john-fetterman/) > [ \[Donald Trump\] knows he's going to get hit, though. He's the president. ](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/megyn-kelly/donald-trump-knows-he-s-going-to-get-hit-though-he-s-the-president/) [Megyn Kelly](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/megyn-kelly/) Browse all 2,538 Donald trump quotes ```json { "@context": "https://schema.org", "@graph": [ { "@type": "Quotation", "text": "Usually, I chalk Democratic dreams of a blue Texas to the same sort of thinking that brought us the inevitability of the coalition of the ascendant and 100% certainty that Donald Trump was going to lose.", "creator": { "@type": "Person", "name": "Krystal Ball" }, "isPartOf": { "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/#website" }, "url": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/krystal-ball/usually-i-chalk-democratic-dreams-of-a-blue-texas-to-the-same-sort-of/", "about": { "@type": "Thing", "name": "Donald trump" }, "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/krystal-ball/usually-i-chalk-democratic-dreams-of-a-blue-texas-to-the-same-sort-of/#quotation", "image": { "@type": "ImageObject", "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/8e6/krystal-ball-11862_donald-trump_usually-i-chalk-democratic-dreams-of-a-b_3101446.jpg", "contentUrl": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/8e6/krystal-ball-11862_donald-trump_usually-i-chalk-democratic-dreams-of-a-b_3101446.jpg", "url": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/8e6/krystal-ball-11862_donald-trump_usually-i-chalk-democratic-dreams-of-a-b_3101446.jpg", "width": 1080, "height": 1080, "caption": "“Usually, I chalk Democratic dreams of a blue Texas to the same sort of thinking that brought us the…” — Krystal Ball", "creditText": "SMS4Smile Quotes", "creator": { "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/#organization" } } }, { "@type": "BreadcrumbList", "itemListElement": [ { "@type": "ListItem", "position": 1, "name": "Home", "item": "https://sms4smile.com/" }, { "@type": "ListItem", "position": 2, "name": "Quotes", "item": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/" }, { "@type": "ListItem", "position": 3, "name": "Krystal Ball", "item": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/krystal-ball/" }, { "@type": "ListItem", "position": 4, "name": "Usually, I chalk Democratic dreams of...", "item": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/krystal-ball/usually-i-chalk-democratic-dreams-of-a-blue-texas-to-the-same-sort-of/" } ], "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/krystal-ball/usually-i-chalk-democratic-dreams-of-a-blue-texas-to-the-same-sort-of/#breadcrumb" }, { "@type": "WebSite", "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/#website", "name": "SMS4Smile Quotes", "url": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/", "publisher": { "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/#organization" } }, { "@type": "Organization", "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/#organization", "name": "SMS4Smile Quotes", "url": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/", "logo": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/wp-content/themes/sq/assets/icons/icon-512.png", "width": 512, "height": 512 } } ] } ```