---
title: "Meaning & Key Takeaway of: A pinch of probability is worth a pound…"
description: "\"A pinch of probability is worth a pound of perhaps.\" — James Thurber"
image: "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/87e/james-thurber-1534_pound_a-pinch-of-probability-is-worth-a-pound_2396655.png"
---

#  A pinch of probability is worth a pound of perhaps.

![“A pinch of probability is worth a pound of perhaps.” quote by James Thurber](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/87e/james-thurber-1534_pound_a-pinch-of-probability-is-worth-a-pound_2396655.png)   [Download](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/87e/james-thurber-1534_pound_a-pinch-of-probability-is-worth-a-pound_2396655.png) [Open image](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/87e/james-thurber-1534_pound_a-pinch-of-probability-is-worth-a-pound_2396655.png)

> “A pinch of probability is worth a pound of perhaps.”

[James Thurber](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/james-thurber/)

## About This Quote

This interpretation was drafted with AI assistance. It is one reading of the quote, not the author's own explanation.

A small chance can outweigh a large uncertainty; probability can be more valuable than speculation.

**In simple terms:** A tiny probability beats a big maybe.

Key Takeaway

Value concrete odds over vague possibilities.

Themes

probability decision making risk assessment

Mood

analytical thoughtful

Type

educational philosophical

When to use this quote

- investment choices
- health decisions
- planning

Key Concepts

statistics uncertainty value of information

Questions to Reflect On

- When do you trust a small probability?
- How do you balance risk and hope?

A Different Perspective

Probability may be hard to estimate; overconfidence possible.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★   No ratings yet

[Probability](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/probability/)

## Related quotes

> [He that will not stoop for a pin will never be worth a pound.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/samuel-pepys/he-that-will-not-stoop-for-a-pin-will-never-be-worth-a-pound/)

[Samuel Pepys](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/samuel-pepys/)

> [An ounce of hypocracy is worth a pound of ambition.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/michael-korda/an-ounce-of-hypocracy-is-worth-a-pound-of-ambition/)

[Michael Korda](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/michael-korda/)

> [An ounce of hypocrisy is worth a pound of ambition.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/michael-korda/an-ounce-of-hypocrisy-is-worth-a-pound-of-ambition/)

[Michael Korda](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/michael-korda/)

> [An ounce of wit that is bought, Is worth a pound that is taught.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/benjamin-franklin/an-ounce-of-wit-that-is-bought-is-worth-a-pound-that-is-taught/)

[Benjamin Franklin](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/benjamin-franklin/)

> [An ounce of image is worth a pound of performance](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/david-lee-roth/an-ounce-of-image-is-worth-a-pound-of-performance/)

[David Lee Roth](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/david-lee-roth/)

> [An ounce of behavior is worth a pound of words.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/sanford-meisner/an-ounce-of-behavior-is-worth-a-pound-of-words/)

[Sanford Meisner](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/sanford-meisner/)

> [There are no living beings who exert more power over others, pound for pound, than tiny babies and extremely thin moguls.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/stanley-bing/there-are-no-living-beings-who-exert-more-power-over-others-pound-for/)

[Stanley Bing](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/stanley-bing/)

> [A pound of worry won't pay an ounce of debt.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/john-ray/a-pound-of-worry-won-t-pay-an-ounce-of-debt/)

[John Ray](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/john-ray/)

> [Meat reared on land matures relatively quickly, and it takes only a few pounds of plants to produce a pound of meat.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/sylvia-earle/meat-reared-on-land-matures-relatively-quickly-and-it-takes-only-a/)

[Sylvia Earle](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/sylvia-earle/)

> [Pound notes are the best religion in the world.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/brendan-behan/pound-notes-are-the-best-religion-in-the-world/)

[Brendan Behan](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/brendan-behan/)

> [An ounce of performance is worth more than a pound of preachment.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/elbert-hubbard/an-ounce-of-performance-is-worth-more-than-a-pound-of-preachment/)

[Elbert Hubbard](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/elbert-hubbard/)

> [An ounce of blood is worth more than a pound of friendship.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/anonymous/an-ounce-of-blood-is-worth-more-than-a-pound-of-friendship/)

[Anonymous](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/anonymous/)

> [ “\[...\] one louing howre For many yeares of sorrow can dispence: A dram of sweet is worth a pound of sowre” ](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/edmund-spenser/one-louing-howre-for-many-yeares-of-sorrow-can-dispence-a-dram-of/)

[Edmund Spenser](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/edmund-spenser/)

> [“An ounce of wisdom is worth more than a pound of knowledge.”](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/matshona-dhliwayo/an-ounce-of-wisdom-is-worth-more-than-a-pound-of-knowledge/)

[Matshona Dhliwayo](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/matshona-dhliwayo/)

> [An ounce of sequins can be worth a pound of home cooking.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/marilyn-vos-savant/an-ounce-of-sequins-can-be-worth-a-pound-of-home-cooking/)

[Marilyn vos Savant](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/marilyn-vos-savant/)

## More by James Thurber

> [ Salvador \[Dali\] was brought up in Spain, a country colored by the legends of Hannibal, El Greco, and Cervantes. I was brought up in… ](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/james-thurber/salvador-dali-was-brought-up-in-spain-a-country-colored-by-the/)

[James Thurber](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/james-thurber/)

> [“Her own mother lived the latter years of her life in the horrible suspicion that electricity was dripping invisibly all over the house.”](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/james-thurber/her-own-mother-lived-the-latter-years-of-her-life-in-the-horrible/)

[James Thurber](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/james-thurber/)

> [“Against the may, the could be, and the should, folly 'tis to balance doubt or hope.”](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/james-thurber/against-the-may-the-could-be-and-the-should-folly-tis-to-balance/)

[James Thurber](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/james-thurber/)

> [Love is the strange bewilderment that overtakes one person on account of another person.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/james-thurber/love-is-the-strange-bewilderment-that-overtakes-one-person-on-account/)

[James Thurber](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/james-thurber/)

> [“ There was an old coddle so molly, He talked in a glot that was poly, His gaws were so gew That his laps…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/james-thurber/there-was-an-old-coddle-so-molly-he-talked-in-a-glot-that-was-poly/)

[James Thurber](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/james-thurber/)

> [“you might as well fall on your face as lean over too far backwards”](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/james-thurber/you-might-as-well-fall-on-your-face-as-lean-over-too-far-backwards/)

[james thurber](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/james-thurber/)

> [I myself have known some profoundly thoughtful dogs.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/james-thurber/i-myself-have-known-some-profoundly-thoughtful-dogs/)

[James Thurber](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/james-thurber/)

> [He knows all about art, but he doesn't know what he likes.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/james-thurber/he-knows-all-about-art-but-he-doesn-t-know-what-he-likes/)

[James Thurber](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/james-thurber/)

> [All men should strive to learn before they die, what they are running from, and to, and why.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/james-thurber/all-men-should-strive-to-learn-before-they-die-what-they-are-running/)

[James Thurber](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/james-thurber/)

> [Quick, name some towns in New Jersey](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/james-thurber/quick-name-some-towns-in-new-jersey/)

[James Thurber](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/james-thurber/)

> [Looks can be deceiving; it's eating that's believing.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/james-thurber/looks-can-be-deceiving-it-s-eating-that-s-believing/)

[James Thurber](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/james-thurber/)

> [“I don’t understand,” said the scientist, “why you lemmings all rush down to the sea and drown yourselves.” “How curious,” said the lemming. “The…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/james-thurber/i-don-t-understand-said-the-scientist-why-you-lemmings-all-rush-down/)

[James Thurber](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/james-thurber/)

> [Humor does not include sarcasm, invalid irony, sardonicism, innuendo, or any other form of cruelty. When these things are raised to a high point…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/james-thurber/humor-does-not-include-sarcasm-invalid-irony-sardonicism-innuendo-or/)

[James Thurber](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/james-thurber/)

> [Where most of us end up there is no knowing, but the hellbent get where they are going.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/james-thurber/where-most-of-us-end-up-there-is-no-knowing-but-the-hellbent-get/)

[James Thurber](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/james-thurber/)

> [Comedy has to be done en clair. You can't blunt the edge of wit or the point of satire with obscurity. Try to imagine…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/james-thurber/comedy-has-to-be-done-en-clair-you-can-t-blunt-the-edge-of-wit-or-the/)

[James Thurber](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/james-thurber/)

[Explore all 229 James Thurber quotes ](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/james-thurber/)

## More Pound quotes

> [I have to be No. 1 pound-for-pound champion.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/islam-makhachev/i-have-to-be-no-1-pound-for-pound-champion/)

[Islam Makhachev](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/islam-makhachev/)

> [“I like ’em round, more of them to pound.”](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/ker-dukey/i-like-em-round-more-of-them-to-pound/)

[Ker Dukey](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/ker-dukey/)

> [Ground and pound is my thing, everyone knows that.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/alexander-volkanovski/ground-and-pound-is-my-thing-everyone-knows-that/)

[Alexander Volkanovski](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/alexander-volkanovski/)

> [“Don't get mad about the infestation of fleas if you keep shopping at the dog pound.”](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/valerie-j-lewis-coleman/don-t-get-mad-about-the-infestation-of-fleas-if-you-keep-shopping-at/)

[Valerie J. Lewis Coleman](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/valerie-j-lewis-coleman/)

> [A handicap is like trying to race and you have a ten pound weight stuck to your waist. That is a handicap.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/malcolm-gladwell/a-handicap-is-like-trying-to-race-and-you-have-a-ten-pound-weight/)

[Malcolm Gladwell](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/malcolm-gladwell/)

> [Pound notes are the best religion in the world.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/brendan-behan/pound-notes-are-the-best-religion-in-the-world/)

[Brendan Behan](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/brendan-behan/)

> [I think you're lucky if you discover what you really love at a young age. College wasn't something I was going to do. I…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/gary-sinise/i-think-you-re-lucky-if-you-discover-what-you-really-love-at-a-young/)

[Gary Sinise](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/gary-sinise/)

> [As a technology, the book is like a hammer. That is to say, it is perfect: a tool ideally suited to its task. Hammers…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/james-gleick/as-a-technology-the-book-is-like-a-hammer-that-is-to-say-it-is/)

[James Gleick](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/james-gleick/)

> [“Who am I, and when did I gain a pound?”](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/anonymous/who-am-i-and-when-did-i-gain-a-pound/)

[Anonymous](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/anonymous/)

> [Not many people can say they were the pound-for-pound best, but I'm one of those people.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/shane-mosley/not-many-people-can-say-they-were-the-pound-for-pound-best-but-i-m/)

[Shane Mosley](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/shane-mosley/)

> [“All worries are less with wine.”](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/amit-kalantri/all-worries-are-less-with-wine/)

[Amit Kalantri](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/amit-kalantri/)

> [An ounce of hypocrisy is worth a pound of ambition.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/michael-korda/an-ounce-of-hypocrisy-is-worth-a-pound-of-ambition/)

[Michael Korda](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/michael-korda/)

> [“In for a penny, in for a pound.”](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/manda-collins/in-for-a-penny-in-for-a-pound/)

Manda Collins

> [“In for a penny, in for a pound - by Max Pesaro ”](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/colleen-gleason/in-for-a-penny-in-for-a-pound-by-max-pesaro/)

[Colleen Gleason](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/colleen-gleason/)

> [Meat reared on land matures relatively quickly, and it takes only a few pounds of plants to produce a pound of meat.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/sylvia-earle/meat-reared-on-land-matures-relatively-quickly-and-it-takes-only-a/)

[Sylvia Earle](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/sylvia-earle/)

Browse all 121 Pound quotes

```json
{
    "@context": "https://schema.org",
    "@graph": [
        {
            "@type": "Quotation",
            "text": "A pinch of probability is worth a pound of perhaps.",
            "creator": {
                "@type": "Person",
                "name": "James Thurber"
            },
            "isPartOf": {
                "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/#website"
            },
            "url": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/james-thurber/a-pinch-of-probability-is-worth-a-pound-of-perhaps/",
            "about": {
                "@type": "Thing",
                "name": "Pound"
            },
            "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/james-thurber/a-pinch-of-probability-is-worth-a-pound-of-perhaps/#quotation",
            "image": {
                "@type": "ImageObject",
                "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/87e/james-thurber-1534_pound_a-pinch-of-probability-is-worth-a-pound_2396655.png",
                "contentUrl": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/87e/james-thurber-1534_pound_a-pinch-of-probability-is-worth-a-pound_2396655.png",
                "url": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/87e/james-thurber-1534_pound_a-pinch-of-probability-is-worth-a-pound_2396655.png",
                "width": 1080,
                "height": 1080,
                "caption": "“A pinch of probability is worth a pound of perhaps.” — James Thurber",
                "creditText": "SMS4Smile Quotes",
                "creator": {
                    "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/#organization"
                }
            }
        },
        {
            "@type": "BreadcrumbList",
            "itemListElement": [
                {
                    "@type": "ListItem",
                    "position": 1,
                    "name": "Home",
                    "item": "https://sms4smile.com/"
                },
                {
                    "@type": "ListItem",
                    "position": 2,
                    "name": "Quotes",
                    "item": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/"
                },
                {
                    "@type": "ListItem",
                    "position": 3,
                    "name": "James Thurber",
                    "item": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/james-thurber/"
                },
                {
                    "@type": "ListItem",
                    "position": 4,
                    "name": "A pinch of probability is worth...",
                    "item": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/james-thurber/a-pinch-of-probability-is-worth-a-pound-of-perhaps/"
                }
            ],
            "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/james-thurber/a-pinch-of-probability-is-worth-a-pound-of-perhaps/#breadcrumb"
        },
        {
            "@type": "WebSite",
            "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/#website",
            "name": "SMS4Smile Quotes",
            "url": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/",
            "publisher": {
                "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/#organization"
            }
        },
        {
            "@type": "Organization",
            "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/#organization",
            "name": "SMS4Smile Quotes",
            "url": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/",
            "logo": {
                "@type": "ImageObject",
                "url": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/wp-content/themes/sq/assets/icons/icon-512.png",
                "width": 512,
                "height": 512
            }
        }
    ]
}
```
