--- title: "Meaning & Key Takeaway of: Auto repair, piloting, skiing, perhaps…" description: "\"Auto repair, piloting, skiing, perhaps even management: these are skills that yield to application, hard work, and native talent. But forecasting an un..." image: "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/9d1/james-surowiecki-2196_action_auto-repair-piloting-skiing-perhaps-even_845906.jpg" --- # Auto repair, piloting, skiing, perhaps even management… ![“Auto repair, piloting, skiing, perhaps even management: these are skills that yield to application, hard work, and native talent. But forecasting an uncertain future and deciding the best course of action in the face of that future are much less likely to do so. And much of what we've seen so far…” quote by James Surowiecki](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/9d1/james-surowiecki-2196_action_auto-repair-piloting-skiing-perhaps-even_845906.jpg) [Download](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/9d1/james-surowiecki-2196_action_auto-repair-piloting-skiing-perhaps-even_845906.jpg) [Open image](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/9d1/james-surowiecki-2196_action_auto-repair-piloting-skiing-perhaps-even_845906.jpg) > “Auto repair, piloting, skiing, perhaps even management: these are skills that yield to application, hard work, and native talent. But forecasting an uncertain future and deciding the best course of action in the face of that future are much less likely to do so. And much of what we've seen so far suggests that a large group of diverse individuals will come up with better and more robust forecasts and make more intelligent decisions than even the most skilled "decision maker."” [James Surowiecki](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/james-surowiecki/) ## About This Quote This interpretation was drafted with AI assistance. It is one reading of the quote, not the author's own explanation. Collective diverse from diverse groups often outperforms individual expert forecasts, especially under uncertainty. **In simple terms:** Groups can predict better than single experts. Key Takeaway Leverage diverse teams for complex decisions. Themes collective intelligence diversity forecasting Mood analytical cautious Type strategic collaborative When to use this quote - business strategy - policy planning - investment analysis - crisis management Key Concepts group dynamics decision theory risk assessment Questions to Reflect On - What mechanisms ensure all voices are heard in a group? - How do you prevent dominant personalities from skewing outcomes? A Different Perspective Groupthink can suppress dissenting insights. ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ No ratings yet [Action](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/action/) [Decision](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/decision/) [Decision makers](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/decision-makers/) [Decision making](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/decision-making/) [Faces](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/faces/) [Hard work](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/hard-work/) [Individual](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/individual/) [Large groups](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/large-groups/) [Management](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/management/) [Skiing](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/skiing/) [Skills](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/skills/) [Talent](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/talent/) [Uncertain future](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/uncertain-future/) ## Related quotes > [The most valuable insight I have made about how people make decisions is that when they become skilled they don't have to make decisions…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/gary-a-klein/the-most-valuable-insight-i-have-made-about-how-people-make-decisions/) [Gary A. 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