---
title: "Meaning & Key Takeaway of: Early gubernatorial polling is, like…"
description: "\"Early gubernatorial polling is, like early Senate polling, fairly predictive of who will win in the fall.\" — Harry Enten"
image: "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/aa8/harry-enten-5474_early_early-gubernatorial-polling-is-like-earl_1076260.jpg"
---

#  Early gubernatorial polling is, like early Senate polling…

![“Early gubernatorial polling is, like early Senate polling, fairly predictive of who will win in the fall.” quote by Harry Enten](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/aa8/harry-enten-5474_early_early-gubernatorial-polling-is-like-earl_1076260.jpg)   [Download](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/aa8/harry-enten-5474_early_early-gubernatorial-polling-is-like-earl_1076260.jpg) [Open image](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/aa8/harry-enten-5474_early_early-gubernatorial-polling-is-like-earl_1076260.jpg)

> “Early gubernatorial polling is, like early Senate polling, fairly predictive of who will win in the fall.”

[Harry Enten](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/harry-enten/)

## About This Quote

This interpretation was drafted with AI assistance. It is one reading of the quote, not the author's own explanation.

Early polls for governor and Senate reliably forecast fall winners.

**In simple terms:** Early polling is a strong predictor of election outcomes.

Key Takeaway

Use early poll data cautiously.

Themes

politics prediction statistics

Mood

analytical cautious

Type

informative analytical

When to use this quote

- campaign strategy
- media reporting
- voter outreach

Key Concepts

electoral studies data analysis

Questions to Reflect On

- How reliable are early polls in volatile races?
- What factors could alter predictions?

A Different Perspective

Polling can mislead if demographics shift.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★   No ratings yet

[Early](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/early/) [Early Gubernatorial](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/early-gubernatorial-2708050/) [Early Senate](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/early-senate-2708051/) [Fairly Predictive](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/fairly-predictive-2708053/) [Gubernatorial Polling](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/gubernatorial-polling-2708049/) [Like](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/like/) [Senate Polling](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/senate-polling-2708052/) [Trump](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/trump/) [Who](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/who/) [Will](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/will/) [Win](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/win/)

## Related quotes

> [There is no real correlation between how late or how early a field forms and the eventual nominee's success in the general election. Democrats,…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/harry-enten/there-is-no-real-correlation-between-how-late-or-how-early-a-field/)

[Harry Enten](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/harry-enten/)

> [I suppose I'm led to do so by the fact of what happened to my contemporaries - people whom I've admired, people who I…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/george-woodcock/i-suppose-i-m-led-to-do-so-by-the-fact-of-what-happened-to-my/)

[George Woodcock](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/george-woodcock/)

> [For years, I had a top secret clearance and never left Russia. Just once did I go to Bulgaria with my wife for a…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/mikhail-kalashnikov/for-years-i-had-a-top-secret-clearance-and-never-left-russia-just/)

[Mikhail Kalashnikov](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/mikhail-kalashnikov/)

> [The game business arose from computer programs that were written by and for young men in the late 1960s and early 1970s. They worked…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/brenda-laurel/the-game-business-arose-from-computer-programs-that-were-written-by/)

[Brenda Laurel](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/brenda-laurel/)

> [“Why'd she leave so early? It's practically yesterday.”](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/maggie-stiefvater/why-d-she-leave-so-early-it-s-practically-yesterday/)

[Maggie Stiefvater](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/maggie-stiefvater/)

> [The latest I like to be to meeting is 15 minutes early](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/david-o-mckay/the-latest-i-like-to-be-to-meeting-is-15-minutes-early/)

[David O. McKay](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/david-o-mckay/)

> [The early days were really difficult because it was constant no's, I didn't have an agent. I always knew that I had something to…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/madelyn-cline/the-early-days-were-really-difficult-because-it-was-constant-no-s-i/)

[Madelyn Cline](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/madelyn-cline/)

> [I grew up in the early '60s, and there was a lot of civil rights, a lot of unrest in our country.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/herm-edwards/i-grew-up-in-the-early-60s-and-there-was-a-lot-of-civil-rights-a-lot/)

[Herm Edwards](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/herm-edwards/)

> [With 'Aurangzeb,' I just knew that the film wasn't going to work, though I think it was one of my most underrated performances. I…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/arjun-kapoor/with-aurangzeb-i-just-knew-that-the-film-wasn-t-going-to-work-though/)

[Arjun Kapoor](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/arjun-kapoor/)

> [In the beginning, if you look at those early label albums of the Chicks, we didn't write all that much. We had an A&amp;R…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/martie-maguire/in-the-beginning-if-you-look-at-those-early-label-albums-of-the/)

[Martie Maguire](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/martie-maguire/)

> [I had been exposed to bitcoin early. I thought the consumer application of it felt, to me, further away. I thought there would be…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/brad-garlinghouse/i-had-been-exposed-to-bitcoin-early-i-thought-the-consumer/)

[Brad Garlinghouse](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/brad-garlinghouse/)

> [I definitely count my blessings. I feel like I've had such a great ride. Early on, to be able to work with some of…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/winona-ryder/i-definitely-count-my-blessings-i-feel-like-i-ve-had-such-a-great/)

[Winona Ryder](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/winona-ryder/)

> [I knew music was for me from an early age.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/jonas-blue/i-knew-music-was-for-me-from-an-early-age/)

[Jonas Blue](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/jonas-blue/)

> [It's very easy to fool yourself that you're working, you know, when you're really not working very hard. I mean, I'm very lazy. So…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/robert-caro/it-s-very-easy-to-fool-yourself-that-you-re-working-you-know-when-you/)

[Robert Caro](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/robert-caro/)

> [I was also known as Frodo because I was an early adopter of 'The Lord of the Rings.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/tom-perrotta/i-was-also-known-as-frodo-because-i-was-an-early-adopter-of-the-lord/)

[Tom Perrotta](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/tom-perrotta/)

## More by Harry Enten

> [Those who have followed my writing know that I don't think Wendy Davis has a very good chance of being elected governor of Texas.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/harry-enten/those-who-have-followed-my-writing-know-that-i-don-t-think-wendy/)

[Harry Enten](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/harry-enten/)

> [There's room for more than one great team in the NFL.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/harry-enten/there-s-room-for-more-than-one-great-team-in-the-nfl/)

[Harry Enten](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/harry-enten/)

> [There is no real correlation between how late or how early a field forms and the eventual nominee's success in the general election. Democrats,…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/harry-enten/there-is-no-real-correlation-between-how-late-or-how-early-a-field/)

[Harry Enten](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/harry-enten/)

> [The ability of a manager to be the driving force of a team is overrated, even when you associate historic teams (think the 1950s…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/harry-enten/the-ability-of-a-manager-to-be-the-driving-force-of-a-team-is/)

[Harry Enten](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/harry-enten/)

> [Those that know me understand that I hate any turn of the phrase 'permanent majority.' I almost always believe that there are larger, mostly…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/harry-enten/those-that-know-me-understand-that-i-hate-any-turn-of-the-phrase/)

[Harry Enten](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/harry-enten/)

> [Riding a wave of anti-establishment and anti-Obama anger, Tea Party candidates knocked off Democrats and Republicans alike.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/harry-enten/riding-a-wave-of-anti-establishment-and-anti-obama-anger-tea-party/)

[Harry Enten](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/harry-enten/)

> [I'll never stop loving Election Night.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/harry-enten/i-ll-never-stop-loving-election-night/)

[Harry Enten](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/harry-enten/)

> [Tropical storm force winds can be dangerous to those who are caught out in them. They could knock down some trees.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/harry-enten/tropical-storm-force-winds-can-be-dangerous-to-those-who-are-caught/)

[Harry Enten](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/harry-enten/)

> [Texas Senator Ted Cruz is seen as a figurehead for Tea Party conservatives.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/harry-enten/texas-senator-ted-cruz-is-seen-as-a-figurehead-for-tea-party/)

[Harry Enten](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/harry-enten/)

> [The Super Bowl and the NFL in general seem to bring together Americans in a way few other things can.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/harry-enten/the-super-bowl-and-the-nfl-in-general-seem-to-bring-together/)

[Harry Enten](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/harry-enten/)

> [One fascinating element of the Biden presidency has been how Americans still seem to be entranced with Trump, even though he is no longer…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/harry-enten/one-fascinating-element-of-the-biden-presidency-has-been-how/)

[Harry Enten](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/harry-enten/)

> [The Super Bowl is a bunch of shows wrapped into one. It's the only spectacle I know of where people watch just for the…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/harry-enten/the-super-bowl-is-a-bunch-of-shows-wrapped-into-one-it-s-the-only/)

[Harry Enten](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/harry-enten/)

> [In an era of streaming and cable television, most programs capture only a small portion of America's over 330 million-person population.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/harry-enten/in-an-era-of-streaming-and-cable-television-most-programs-capture/)

[Harry Enten](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/harry-enten/)

> [My study of past elections in which there was a dominant issue other than the economy indicates that whomever is most trusted on that…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/harry-enten/my-study-of-past-elections-in-which-there-was-a-dominant-issue-other/)

[Harry Enten](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/harry-enten/)

> [When I'm wrong, I say I'm wrong.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/harry-enten/when-i-m-wrong-i-say-i-m-wrong/)

[Harry Enten](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/harry-enten/)

[Explore all 100 Harry Enten quotes ](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/harry-enten/)

## More Early quotes

> [I was also known as Frodo because I was an early adopter of 'The Lord of the Rings.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/tom-perrotta/i-was-also-known-as-frodo-because-i-was-an-early-adopter-of-the-lord/)

[Tom Perrotta](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/tom-perrotta/)

> [It's very easy to fool yourself that you're working, you know, when you're really not working very hard. I mean, I'm very lazy. So…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/robert-caro/it-s-very-easy-to-fool-yourself-that-you-re-working-you-know-when-you/)

[Robert Caro](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/robert-caro/)

> [I knew music was for me from an early age.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/jonas-blue/i-knew-music-was-for-me-from-an-early-age/)

[Jonas Blue](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/jonas-blue/)

> [I definitely count my blessings. I feel like I've had such a great ride. Early on, to be able to work with some of…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/winona-ryder/i-definitely-count-my-blessings-i-feel-like-i-ve-had-such-a-great/)

[Winona Ryder](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/winona-ryder/)

> [I had been exposed to bitcoin early. I thought the consumer application of it felt, to me, further away. I thought there would be…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/brad-garlinghouse/i-had-been-exposed-to-bitcoin-early-i-thought-the-consumer/)

[Brad Garlinghouse](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/brad-garlinghouse/)

> [In the beginning, if you look at those early label albums of the Chicks, we didn't write all that much. We had an A&amp;R…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/martie-maguire/in-the-beginning-if-you-look-at-those-early-label-albums-of-the/)

[Martie Maguire](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/martie-maguire/)

> [With 'Aurangzeb,' I just knew that the film wasn't going to work, though I think it was one of my most underrated performances. I…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/arjun-kapoor/with-aurangzeb-i-just-knew-that-the-film-wasn-t-going-to-work-though/)

[Arjun Kapoor](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/arjun-kapoor/)

> [I grew up in the early '60s, and there was a lot of civil rights, a lot of unrest in our country.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/herm-edwards/i-grew-up-in-the-early-60s-and-there-was-a-lot-of-civil-rights-a-lot/)

[Herm Edwards](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/herm-edwards/)

> [The early days were really difficult because it was constant no's, I didn't have an agent. I always knew that I had something to…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/madelyn-cline/the-early-days-were-really-difficult-because-it-was-constant-no-s-i/)

[Madelyn Cline](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/madelyn-cline/)

> [The latest I like to be to meeting is 15 minutes early](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/david-o-mckay/the-latest-i-like-to-be-to-meeting-is-15-minutes-early/)

[David O. McKay](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/david-o-mckay/)

> [“Why'd she leave so early? It's practically yesterday.”](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/maggie-stiefvater/why-d-she-leave-so-early-it-s-practically-yesterday/)

[Maggie Stiefvater](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/maggie-stiefvater/)

> [The game business arose from computer programs that were written by and for young men in the late 1960s and early 1970s. They worked…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/brenda-laurel/the-game-business-arose-from-computer-programs-that-were-written-by/)

[Brenda Laurel](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/brenda-laurel/)

> [For years, I had a top secret clearance and never left Russia. Just once did I go to Bulgaria with my wife for a…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/mikhail-kalashnikov/for-years-i-had-a-top-secret-clearance-and-never-left-russia-just/)

[Mikhail Kalashnikov](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/mikhail-kalashnikov/)

> [I suppose I'm led to do so by the fact of what happened to my contemporaries - people whom I've admired, people who I…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/george-woodcock/i-suppose-i-m-led-to-do-so-by-the-fact-of-what-happened-to-my/)

[George Woodcock](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/george-woodcock/)

> [Kids in the entertainment industry are at a risk of developing depression, as they see glamour at an early age.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/divyanka-tripathi/kids-in-the-entertainment-industry-are-at-a-risk-of-developing/)

[Divyanka Tripathi](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/divyanka-tripathi/)

[Browse all 3,940 Early quotes ](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/early/)

```json
{
    "@context": "https://schema.org",
    "@graph": [
        {
            "@type": "Quotation",
            "text": "Early gubernatorial polling is, like early Senate polling, fairly predictive of who will win in the fall.",
            "creator": {
                "@type": "Person",
                "name": "Harry Enten"
            },
            "isPartOf": {
                "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/#website"
            },
            "url": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/harry-enten/early-gubernatorial-polling-is-like-early-senate-polling-fairly/",
            "about": {
                "@type": "Thing",
                "name": "Early"
            },
            "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/harry-enten/early-gubernatorial-polling-is-like-early-senate-polling-fairly/#quotation",
            "image": {
                "@type": "ImageObject",
                "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/aa8/harry-enten-5474_early_early-gubernatorial-polling-is-like-earl_1076260.jpg",
                "contentUrl": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/aa8/harry-enten-5474_early_early-gubernatorial-polling-is-like-earl_1076260.jpg",
                "url": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/aa8/harry-enten-5474_early_early-gubernatorial-polling-is-like-earl_1076260.jpg",
                "width": 1080,
                "height": 1080,
                "caption": "“Early gubernatorial polling is, like early Senate polling, fairly predictive of who will win in the fall.” — Harry Enten",
                "creditText": "SMS4Smile Quotes",
                "creator": {
                    "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/#organization"
                }
            }
        },
        {
            "@type": "BreadcrumbList",
            "itemListElement": [
                {
                    "@type": "ListItem",
                    "position": 1,
                    "name": "Home",
                    "item": "https://sms4smile.com/"
                },
                {
                    "@type": "ListItem",
                    "position": 2,
                    "name": "Quotes",
                    "item": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/"
                },
                {
                    "@type": "ListItem",
                    "position": 3,
                    "name": "Harry Enten",
                    "item": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/harry-enten/"
                },
                {
                    "@type": "ListItem",
                    "position": 4,
                    "name": "Early gubernatorial polling is, like early...",
                    "item": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/harry-enten/early-gubernatorial-polling-is-like-early-senate-polling-fairly/"
                }
            ],
            "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/harry-enten/early-gubernatorial-polling-is-like-early-senate-polling-fairly/#breadcrumb"
        },
        {
            "@type": "WebSite",
            "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/#website",
            "name": "SMS4Smile Quotes",
            "url": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/",
            "publisher": {
                "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/#organization"
            }
        },
        {
            "@type": "Organization",
            "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/#organization",
            "name": "SMS4Smile Quotes",
            "url": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/",
            "logo": {
                "@type": "ImageObject",
                "url": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/wp-content/themes/sq/assets/icons/icon-512.png",
                "width": 512,
                "height": 512
            }
        }
    ]
}
```
