--- title: "Meaning & Key Takeaway of: If things continue as they have been, in…" description: "\"If things continue as they have been, in five years, at the latest, we will need to acknowledge that something is fundamentally wrong with our climate ..." image: "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/e24/hans-von-storch-35704_acknowledge_if-things-continue-as-they-have-been-in_3035876.jpg" --- # If things continue as they have been, in five years, at… ![“If things continue as they have been, in five years, at the latest, we will need to acknowledge that something is fundamentally wrong with our climate models. A 20-year pause in global warming does not occur in a single modeled scenario. But even today, we are finding it very difficult to…” quote by Hans von Storch](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/e24/hans-von-storch-35704_acknowledge_if-things-continue-as-they-have-been-in_3035876.jpg) [Download](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/e24/hans-von-storch-35704_acknowledge_if-things-continue-as-they-have-been-in_3035876.jpg) [Open image](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/e24/hans-von-storch-35704_acknowledge_if-things-continue-as-they-have-been-in_3035876.jpg) > “If things continue as they have been, in five years, at the latest, we will need to acknowledge that something is fundamentally wrong with our climate models. A 20-year pause in global warming does not occur in a single modeled scenario. But even today, we are finding it very difficult to reconcile actual temperature trends with our expectations.” [Hans von Storch](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/hans-von-storch/) ## About This Quote This interpretation was drafted with AI assistance. It is one reading of the quote, not the author's own explanation. Current climate models fail to capture recent warming pauses, indicating fundamental flaws that need urgent review. **In simple terms:** Models miss recent temperature trends. Key Takeaway Reevaluate and improve climate modeling. Themes science climate modeling uncertainty policy Mood concerned analytical Type scientific warning When to use this quote - policy planning - research funding - public communication - educational curricula Key Concepts feedback loops systemic error data assimilation Questions to Reflect On - How can models be better aligned with observations? - What policy changes are needed if models are flawed? A Different Perspective Models may be limited by data gaps and assumptions. ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ No ratings yet [Climate](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/climate/) [Expectations](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/expectations/) [Global warming](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/global-warming/) [Today](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/today/) [Warming](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/warming/) ## Related quotes > [“But since the beginning of our new century, global temperatures have been flat to declining, despite the continuing rise in CO2. None of the…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/steve-goreham/but-since-the-beginning-of-our-new-century-global-temperatures-have/) [Steve Goreham](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/steve-goreham/) > [I looked at 73 climate models going back to 1979 and every single one predicted more warming than happened in the real world.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/john-christy/i-looked-at-73-climate-models-going-back-to-1979-and-every-single-one/) [John Christy](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/john-christy/) > [What if we're wrong and there is no climate change? Well, by doing everything possible to address it, we will still use less water,…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/thomas-friedman/what-if-we-re-wrong-and-there-is-no-climate-change-well-by-doing/) [Thomas Friedman](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/thomas-friedman/) > [I hear so many people talking about what's wrong, whether it's climate change or whatever, but so few say, 'Well, look, we've got this…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/jenny-shipley/i-hear-so-many-people-talking-about-what-s-wrong-whether-it-s-climate/) [Jenny Shipley](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/jenny-shipley/) > [It makes very little sense to believe the output of the climate models.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/freeman-dyson/it-makes-very-little-sense-to-believe-the-output-of-the-climate-models/) [Freeman Dyson](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/freeman-dyson/) > [“The climate models showed that greenhouse gas emissions had contributed to an increase in such summers, from one in 1,000 years to at least…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/heidi-cullen/the-climate-models-showed-that-greenhouse-gas-emissions-had/) [Heidi Cullen](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/heidi-cullen/) > [I am supposed to worry about oceans rising 70 years from now, on climate models that have already proven to be utterly flawed?](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/dennis-prager/i-am-supposed-to-worry-about-oceans-rising-70-years-from-now-on/) [Dennis Prager](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/dennis-prager/) > [ How reliable are the computer \[climate\] models on which possible future climates are based? Not very. All will agree that the task of modeling… ](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/don-aitkin/how-reliable-are-the-computer-climate-models-on-which-possible-future/) [Don Aitkin](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/don-aitkin/) > [ Human myopia cannot be overcome simply by well-meaning attempts to build \[climate\] models that purport to peer decades and centuries ahead. Action taken now,… ](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/colin-robinson/human-myopia-cannot-be-overcome-simply-by-well-meaning-attempts-to/) Colin Robinson > [“But the latest climate models paint a very bleak picture. According to their predictions, by the 2040s such summers will be happening every other…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/heidi-cullen/but-the-latest-climate-models-paint-a-very-bleak-picture-according-to/) [Heidi Cullen](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/heidi-cullen/) > [Vegetation is really controlling what happens...whereas the emphasis in the climate models has always been on the atmosphere.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/freeman-dyson/vegetation-is-really-controlling-what-happens-whereas-the-emphasis-in/) [Freeman Dyson](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/freeman-dyson/) > [Perhaps the greatest scientific deception of the IPCC is the abuse and misuse of computer climate models. They allow them to make their reports…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/timothy-ball/perhaps-the-greatest-scientific-deception-of-the-ipcc-is-the-abuse/) Timothy Ball > [“The Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) synthesized the results from eighteen climate models used by groups around the…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/heidi-cullen/the-fourth-assessment-report-of-the-intergovernmental-panel-on/) [Heidi Cullen](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/heidi-cullen/) > [I am arguing that climate models are not fit for the purpose of detection and attribution of climate change on decadal to multidecadal timescales.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/judith-curry/i-am-arguing-that-climate-models-are-not-fit-for-the-purpose-of/) [Judith Curry](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/judith-curry/) > [Climate ... models bear about as much relation to reality as astrology.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/melanie-phillips/climate-models-bear-about-as-much-relation-to-reality-as-astrology/) [Melanie Phillips](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/melanie-phillips/) ## More by Hans von Storch > [We climate researchers can only offer possible scenarios. In other words, things could end up being completely different. But there are undoubtedly parts of…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/hans-von-storch/we-climate-researchers-can-only-offer-possible-scenarios-in-other/) [Hans von Storch](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/hans-von-storch/) > [Unfortunately, some scientists behave like preachers, delivering sermons to people. What this approach ignores is the fact that there are many threats in our…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/hans-von-storch/unfortunately-some-scientists-behave-like-preachers-delivering/) [Hans von Storch](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/hans-von-storch/) > [If higher summer temperatures become the norm in the future, people will adjust. Perhaps they'll take naps more frequently in the afternoon and convert…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/hans-von-storch/if-higher-summer-temperatures-become-the-norm-in-the-future-people/) [Hans von Storch](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/hans-von-storch/) > [The fear of climatic catastrophes is an ancient one and not unlike our fear of strangers. In the past, people believed that the climate…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/hans-von-storch/the-fear-of-climatic-catastrophes-is-an-ancient-one-and-not-unlike/) [Hans von Storch](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/hans-von-storch/) > [There is no last word in research, and that includes climate research. It's never the truth that scientists offer, but only our best possible…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/hans-von-storch/there-is-no-last-word-in-research-and-that-includes-climate-research/) [Hans von Storch](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/hans-von-storch/) > [Unfortunately many scientists see themselves too much as priests whose job it is to preach moralistic sermons to people. This is another legacy of…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/hans-von-storch/unfortunately-many-scientists-see-themselves-too-much-as-priests/) [Hans von Storch](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/hans-von-storch/) > [We can no longer completely avoid anthropogenic climate change. At best, limiting the temperature rise to two degrees is just about possible, according to…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/hans-von-storch/we-can-no-longer-completely-avoid-anthropogenic-climate-change-at/) [Hans von Storch](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/hans-von-storch/) > [Because of the inherent time lag in the climate system, the greenhouse gases that have already been pumped into the atmosphere will undoubtedly lead…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/hans-von-storch/because-of-the-inherent-time-lag-in-the-climate-system-the-greenhouse/) [Hans von Storch](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/hans-von-storch/) > [Nowadays it's those hedonistic wastrels who pollute the air so that they can look at some pretty fish in the South Seas. It would…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/hans-von-storch/nowadays-it-s-those-hedonistic-wastrels-who-pollute-the-air-so-that/) [Hans von Storch](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/hans-von-storch/) > [The reasons are likely rooted in religion. Playing around with God's creation is simply not allowed. Incidentally, in the past it was precisely the…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/hans-von-storch/the-reasons-are-likely-rooted-in-religion-playing-around-with-god-s/) [Hans von Storch](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/hans-von-storch/) > [According to the computer models, we do expect high winds in northern Germany to increase by one percent per decade. But this is such…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/hans-von-storch/according-to-the-computer-models-we-do-expect-high-winds-in-northern/) [Hans von Storch](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/hans-von-storch/) > [It is in fact necessary to reduce CO2 emissions. There is no reason why we shouldn't spend our vacations on (the North Sea island…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/hans-von-storch/it-is-in-fact-necessary-to-reduce-co2-emissions-there-is-no-reason/) [Hans von Storch](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/hans-von-storch/) [Explore all 13 Hans von Storch quotes ](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/hans-von-storch/) ## More Acknowledge quotes > [Black music has always known, and not been afraid to acknowledge just how high the stakes of Black thought are. To summarize the final…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/frank-b-wilderson-iii/black-music-has-always-known-and-not-been-afraid-to-acknowledge-just/) Frank B. Wilderson III > [I'm a Christian because Christianity names and addresses sin. It acknowledges the reality that the evil we observe in the world is also present…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/rachel-held-evans/i-m-a-christian-because-christianity-names-and-addresses-sin-it/) [Rachel Held Evans](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/rachel-held-evans/) > [The only way to ease our fear and be truly happy is to acknowledge our fear and look deeply at its source. Instead of…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/anonymous/the-only-way-to-ease-our-fear-and-be-truly-happy-is-to-acknowledge/) [Anonymous](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/anonymous/) > [On Thanksgiving Day we acknowledge our dependence.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/william-jennings-bryan/on-thanksgiving-day-we-acknowledge-our-dependence/) [William Jennings Bryan](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/william-jennings-bryan/) > [You can't go into games with any fear. You can acknowledge a good team but you can't go in worrying.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/reece-james/you-can-t-go-into-games-with-any-fear-you-can-acknowledge-a-good-team/) [Reece James](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/reece-james/) > [Conservative feminism is such an artificial term that doesn't mean much to me. For me conservatism means accepting reality. I acknowledge that there are…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/kristina-schroder/conservative-feminism-is-such-an-artificial-term-that-doesn-t-mean/) [Kristina Schroder](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/kristina-schroder/) > [We must acknowledge that bearing and raising children is not some pesky, peripheral activity that we engage in, but the whole point.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/susan-maushart/we-must-acknowledge-that-bearing-and-raising-children-is-not-some/) [Susan Maushart](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/susan-maushart/) > [When we pray, we must begin by conceiving God in full and vigorous images, but we must go on to acknowledge the inadequacy of…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/austin-farrer/when-we-pray-we-must-begin-by-conceiving-god-in-full-and-vigorous/) [Austin Farrer](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/austin-farrer/) > [Acknowledging foolishness is a very powerful and important experience. We could almost say that being willing to be a fool is one of the…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/chogyam-trungpa/acknowledging-foolishness-is-a-very-powerful-and-important-experience/) [Chogyam Trungpa](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/chogyam-trungpa/) > [Actually, when I look at my old notebooks, I think I have been a bit self-indulgent and have given myself too much time to…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/natalie-goldberg/actually-when-i-look-at-my-old-notebooks-i-think-i-have-been-a-bit/) [Natalie Goldberg](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/natalie-goldberg/) > [I would like, then, to end by putting in a good word for the non-industrious poor. At least they aren’t hurting anyone. Insofar as…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/david-graeber/i-would-like-then-to-end-by-putting-in-a-good-word-for-the-non/) [David Graeber](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/david-graeber/) > [No one seriously doubts Socrates' maxim: The unexamined life isn't worth living. Self-assessment and attempts at self-improvement are essential aspects of "the good life."…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/robert-a-burton/no-one-seriously-doubts-socrates-maxim-the-unexamined-life-isn-t/) [Robert A. Burton](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/robert-a-burton/) > [As objects of contemplation, images of the atrocious can answer to several different needs. To steel oneself against weakness. To make oneself more numb.…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/susan-sontag/as-objects-of-contemplation-images-of-the-atrocious-can-answer-to/) [Susan Sontag](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/susan-sontag/) > [It is in the measure that special methods acknowledge their common core in transcendental method, that norms common to all the sciences will be…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/bernard-lonergan/it-is-in-the-measure-that-special-methods-acknowledge-their-common/) [Bernard Lonergan](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/bernard-lonergan/) > [I can hear of the brilliant accomplishments of any of my sex with pleasure and rejoice in that liberality of sentiment which acknowledges them.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/abigail-adams/i-can-hear-of-the-brilliant-accomplishments-of-any-of-my-sex-with/) [Abigail Adams](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/abigail-adams/) Browse all 1,475 Acknowledge quotes ```json { "@context": "https://schema.org", "@graph": [ { "@type": "Quotation", "text": "If things continue as they have been, in five years, at the latest, we will need to acknowledge that something is fundamentally wrong with our climate models. 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