--- title: "Meaning & Key Takeaway of: You'd think there'd be some kind of more…" description: "\"“You'd think there'd be some kind of more dramatic mental event associated with updating on an observation of infinitesimal probability -\" Harry stoppe..." image: "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/9f5/eliezer-yudkowsky-1207_believe-false_you-d-think-there-d-be-some-kind-of-more_2495851.jpg" --- # You'd think there'd be some kind of more dramatic mental… ![“You'd think there'd be some kind of more dramatic mental event associated with updating on an observation of infinitesimal probability -" Harry stopped himself. Mum, the witch, and even his Dad were giving him that look again. "I mean, with finding out that everything I believe is false.” quote by Eliezer Yudkowsky](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/9f5/eliezer-yudkowsky-1207_believe-false_you-d-think-there-d-be-some-kind-of-more_2495851.jpg) [Download](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/9f5/eliezer-yudkowsky-1207_believe-false_you-d-think-there-d-be-some-kind-of-more_2495851.jpg) [Open image](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/9f5/eliezer-yudkowsky-1207_believe-false_you-d-think-there-d-be-some-kind-of-more_2495851.jpg) > ““You'd think there'd be some kind of more dramatic mental event associated with updating on an observation of infinitesimal probability -" Harry stopped himself. Mum, the witch, and even his Dad were giving him that look again. "I mean, with finding out that everything I believe is false.”” [Eliezer Yudkowsky](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/eliezer-yudkowsky/) ## About This Quote This interpretation was drafted with AI assistance. It is one reading of the quote, not the author's own explanation. Confronting a low‑probability observation can feel anticlimactic, yet it forces a deep reassessment of one's beliefs. **In simple terms:** Rare events can still shake core beliefs. Key Takeaway Embrace the discomfort of belief revision. Themes cognition belief uncertainty philosophy Mood reflective thoughtful Type philosophical inspirational When to use this quote - scientific research - personal crisis - philosophical debate Key Concepts Bayesian updating cognitive dissonance epistemic humility Questions to Reflect On - How do you react when evidence contradicts your worldview? - What steps help you integrate unsettling data? A Different Perspective The emotional impact may be minimal despite logical significance. ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ No ratings yet ## Related quotes > [Even if someone knew the entire physical history of the world, and every mental event were identical with a physical, it would notfollow that…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/donald-davidson/even-if-someone-knew-the-entire-physical-history-of-the-world-and/) [Donald Davidson](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/donald-davidson/) > [You know that, according to quantum theory, if two particles collide with enough energy you can, in principle, with an infinitesimal probability, produce two…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/isidor-isaac-rabi/you-know-that-according-to-quantum-theory-if-two-particles-collide/) [Isidor Isaac Rabi](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/isidor-isaac-rabi/) > [We want to lead Catholics to Christ. I believe it is a false religion.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/john-macarthur/we-want-to-lead-catholics-to-christ-i-believe-it-is-a-false-religion/) [John MacArthur](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/john-macarthur/) > [I don't believe in false memories, like I don't believe in false songs.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/john-lydon/i-don-t-believe-in-false-memories-like-i-don-t-believe-in-false-songs/) [John Lydon](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/john-lydon/) > [Everybody walks around talking about, 'Sam Allardyce's style is not good enough, he doesn't play the right way' and so on and so forth…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/sam-allardyce/everybody-walks-around-talking-about-sam-allardyce-s-style-is-not/) [Sam Allardyce](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/sam-allardyce/) > [“Misinterpreting is not the only route by which someone may believe his or her false account is true.”](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/paul-ekman/misinterpreting-is-not-the-only-route-by-which-someone-may-believe/) [Paul Ekman](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/paul-ekman/) > [“When everything Americans believe is false, our misinformation campaign will be complete.”](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/william-casey-cia-agent-head-under-regan/when-everything-americans-believe-is-false-our-misinformation/) William Casey CIA Agent Head under Regan ## More by Eliezer Yudkowsky > [“But I really am Ravenclaw, you know, not Slytherin. I don't want to rule the universe. I just think it could be more sensibly…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/eliezer-yudkowsky/but-i-really-am-ravenclaw-you-know-not-slytherin-i-don-t-want-to-rule/) [Eliezer Yudkowsky](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/eliezer-yudkowsky/) > [“‎If you regard evidence as a constraint and seek to free yourself, you sell yourself into the chains of your whims. For you cannot…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/eliezer-yudkowsky/if-you-regard-evidence-as-a-constraint-and-seek-to-free-yourself-you/) [Eliezer Yudkowsky](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/eliezer-yudkowsky/) > [“I am not sure how to explain it, except that - truth matters to us.”](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/eliezer-yudkowsky/i-am-not-sure-how-to-explain-it-except-that-truth-matters-to-us/) [Eliezer Yudkowsky](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/eliezer-yudkowsky/) > [I see little hope for democracy as an effective form of government, but I admire the poetry of how it makes its victims complicit…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/eliezer-yudkowsky/i-see-little-hope-for-democracy-as-an-effective-form-of-government/) [Eliezer Yudkowsky](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/eliezer-yudkowsky/) > [“He really really really shouldn't have done that. Amazing how much more obvious that became one second after it was too late.”](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/eliezer-yudkowsky/he-really-really-really-shouldn-t-have-done-that-amazing-how-much/) [Eliezer Yudkowsky](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/eliezer-yudkowsky/) > [I'm wondering if there's a spell to make lightning flash in the background whenever I make an ominous resolution.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/eliezer-yudkowsky/i-m-wondering-if-there-s-a-spell-to-make-lightning-flash-in-the/) [Eliezer Yudkowsky](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/eliezer-yudkowsky/) > [“There’s a technique we use in our local rationalist cluster called “Is That Your True Rejection?”, and it works like this: Before you stake…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/eliezer-yudkowsky/there-s-a-technique-we-use-in-our-local-rationalist-cluster-called-is/) [Eliezer Yudkowsky](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/eliezer-yudkowsky/) > [Lonely dissent doesn't feel like going to school dressed in black. It feels like going to school wearing a clown suit.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/eliezer-yudkowsky/lonely-dissent-doesn-t-feel-like-going-to-school-dressed-in-black-it/) [Eliezer Yudkowsky](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/eliezer-yudkowsky/) > [“Knowing that Draco's hopeful face had probably been drilled into him by months of practice did not make it any less effective, Harry observed.…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/eliezer-yudkowsky/knowing-that-draco-s-hopeful-face-had-probably-been-drilled-into-him/) [Eliezer Yudkowsky](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/eliezer-yudkowsky/) > [The strength of a theory is not what it allows, but what it prohibits; if you can invent an equally persuasive explanation for any…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/eliezer-yudkowsky/the-strength-of-a-theory-is-not-what-it-allows-but-what-it-prohibits/) [Eliezer Yudkowsky](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/eliezer-yudkowsky/) > [It is triple ultra forbidden to respond to criticism with violence. There are a very few injunctions in the human art of rationality that…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/eliezer-yudkowsky/it-is-triple-ultra-forbidden-to-respond-to-criticism-with-violence/) [Eliezer Yudkowsky](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/eliezer-yudkowsky/) > [The human species was not born into a market economy. Bees won't sell you honey if you offer them an electronic funds transfer. The…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/eliezer-yudkowsky/the-human-species-was-not-born-into-a-market-economy-bees-won-t-sell/) [Eliezer Yudkowsky](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/eliezer-yudkowsky/) > [“Frigideiro! " said Hermione again from the desk next to him. Her water was solid ice and there were white crystals forming on the rim…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/eliezer-yudkowsky/frigideiro-said-hermione-again-from-the-desk-next-to-him-her-water/) [Eliezer Yudkowsky](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/eliezer-yudkowsky/) > [“And then Harry Potter had launched in to a speech that was inspiring, yet vague. A speech to the effect that Fred and George…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/eliezer-yudkowsky/and-then-harry-potter-had-launched-in-to-a-speech-that-was-inspiring/) [Eliezer Yudkowsky](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/eliezer-yudkowsky/) > [“And I know that I'd just make myself unhappy by comparing that reality to... something perfect that I built up in my imagination.”](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/eliezer-yudkowsky/and-i-know-that-i-d-just-make-myself-unhappy-by-comparing-that/) [Eliezer Yudkowsky](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/eliezer-yudkowsky/) [Explore all 274 Eliezer Yudkowsky quotes ](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/eliezer-yudkowsky/) ## More Believe False quotes > [We want to lead Catholics to Christ. I believe it is a false religion.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/john-macarthur/we-want-to-lead-catholics-to-christ-i-believe-it-is-a-false-religion/) [John MacArthur](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/john-macarthur/) > [I don't believe in false memories, like I don't believe in false songs.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/john-lydon/i-don-t-believe-in-false-memories-like-i-don-t-believe-in-false-songs/) [John Lydon](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/john-lydon/) > [Everybody walks around talking about, 'Sam Allardyce's style is not good enough, he doesn't play the right way' and so on and so forth…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/sam-allardyce/everybody-walks-around-talking-about-sam-allardyce-s-style-is-not/) [Sam Allardyce](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/sam-allardyce/) > [“Misinterpreting is not the only route by which someone may believe his or her false account is true.”](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/paul-ekman/misinterpreting-is-not-the-only-route-by-which-someone-may-believe/) [Paul Ekman](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/paul-ekman/) > [“When everything Americans believe is false, our misinformation campaign will be complete.”](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/william-casey-cia-agent-head-under-regan/when-everything-americans-believe-is-false-our-misinformation/) William Casey CIA Agent Head under Regan Browse all 6 Believe False quotes ```json { "@context": "https://schema.org", "@graph": [ { "@type": "Quotation", "text": "“You'd think there'd be some kind of more dramatic mental event associated with updating on an observation of infinitesimal probability -\" Harry stopped himself. Mum, the witch, and even his Dad were giving him that look again. \"I mean, with finding out that everything I believe is false.”", "creator": { "@type": "Person", "name": "Eliezer Yudkowsky" }, "isPartOf": { "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/#website" }, "url": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/eliezer-yudkowsky/you-d-think-there-d-be-some-kind-of-more-dramatic-mental-event/", "about": { "@type": "Thing", "name": "Believe False" }, "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/eliezer-yudkowsky/you-d-think-there-d-be-some-kind-of-more-dramatic-mental-event/#quotation", "image": { "@type": "ImageObject", "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/9f5/eliezer-yudkowsky-1207_believe-false_you-d-think-there-d-be-some-kind-of-more_2495851.jpg", "contentUrl": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/9f5/eliezer-yudkowsky-1207_believe-false_you-d-think-there-d-be-some-kind-of-more_2495851.jpg", "url": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/9f5/eliezer-yudkowsky-1207_believe-false_you-d-think-there-d-be-some-kind-of-more_2495851.jpg", "width": 1080, "height": 1080, "caption": "“You'd think there'd be some kind of more dramatic mental event associated with updating on an observation of…” — Eliezer Yudkowsky", "creditText": "SMS4Smile Quotes", "creator": { "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/#organization" } } }, { "@type": "BreadcrumbList", "itemListElement": [ { "@type": "ListItem", "position": 1, "name": "Home", "item": "https://sms4smile.com/" }, { "@type": "ListItem", "position": 2, "name": "Quotes", "item": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/" }, { "@type": "ListItem", "position": 3, "name": "Eliezer Yudkowsky", "item": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/eliezer-yudkowsky/" }, { "@type": "ListItem", "position": 4, "name": "“You'd think there'd be some kind...", "item": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/eliezer-yudkowsky/you-d-think-there-d-be-some-kind-of-more-dramatic-mental-event/" } ], "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/eliezer-yudkowsky/you-d-think-there-d-be-some-kind-of-more-dramatic-mental-event/#breadcrumb" }, { "@type": "WebSite", "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/#website", "name": "SMS4Smile Quotes", "url": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/", "publisher": { "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/#organization" } }, { "@type": "Organization", "@id": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/#organization", "name": "SMS4Smile Quotes", "url": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/", "logo": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/wp-content/themes/sq/assets/icons/icon-512.png", "width": 512, "height": 512 } } ] } ```