--- title: "Meaning & Key Takeaway of: Indeed, the average guess by people who…" description: "\"“Indeed, the average guess by people who were asked about Michigan is lower than the guesses of a similar group who were asked about the murder rate in..." image: "https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/e38/daniel-kahneman-431_think-detroit_indeed-the-average-guess-by-people-who-w_3234346.jpg" --- # Indeed, the average guess by people who were asked about… ![“Indeed, the average guess by people who were asked about Michigan is lower than the guesses of a similar group who were asked about the murder rate in Detroit. Blame for a failure to think of Detroit can be laid on both System 1 and System 2. Whether the city comes to mind when the state is…” quote by Daniel Kahneman](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/e38/daniel-kahneman-431_think-detroit_indeed-the-average-guess-by-people-who-w_3234346.jpg) [Download](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/e38/daniel-kahneman-431_think-detroit_indeed-the-average-guess-by-people-who-w_3234346.jpg) [Open image](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/i/e38/daniel-kahneman-431_think-detroit_indeed-the-average-guess-by-people-who-w_3234346.jpg) > ““Indeed, the average guess by people who were asked about Michigan is lower than the guesses of a similar group who were asked about the murder rate in Detroit. Blame for a failure to think of Detroit can be laid on both System 1 and System 2. Whether the city comes to mind when the state is mentioned depends in part on the automatic function of memory.”” [Daniel Kahneman](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/daniel-kahneman/) ## About This Quote This interpretation was drafted with AI assistance. It is one reading of the quote, not the author's own explanation. People recall vivid, negative examples more readily, skewing judgments about broader topics. **In simple terms:** Memorable negatives bias our thinking. Key Takeaway Check for bias before concluding. Themes cognition bias memory Mood analytical cautious Type philosophical inspirational When to use this quote - policy analysis - risk assessment - media reporting Key Concepts System 1 System 2 availability heuristic Questions to Reflect On - What vivid example might be misleading you? - How can you incorporate broader data? A Different Perspective Over‑reliance on vivid examples can ignore statistical reality. ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ No ratings yet [Asked Michigan](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/asked-michigan-6131067/) [Detroit Blame](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/detroit-blame-6131066/) [Lower Guesses](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/lower-guesses-6131068/) [Rate Detroit](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/rate-detroit-6131069/) [Think Detroit](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/think-detroit-3436680/) ## Related quotes > [I really don't think that Detroit was any different than New York of Boston or Philadelphia. Kids always wanted to listen to music outside…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/diana-ross/i-really-don-t-think-that-detroit-was-any-different-than-new-york-of/) [Diana Ross](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/diana-ross/) > [I think Detroit is where muscle meets brains.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/dan-gilbert/i-think-detroit-is-where-muscle-meets-brains/) [Dan Gilbert](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/dan-gilbert/) > [People think that Detroit is this barren wasteland. While there are parts that are not as nice as others, the misconception is not true.…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/steven-yeun/people-think-that-detroit-is-this-barren-wasteland-while-there-are/) [Steven Yeun](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/steven-yeun/) > [I think Detroit deserves a comedy that's not about suffering.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/sam-richardson/i-think-detroit-deserves-a-comedy-that-s-not-about-suffering/) [Sam Richardson](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/sam-richardson/) > [I think that the Detroit auto industry is important to the United States. It's important for hundreds of thousands of Americans who have their…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/john-boehner/i-think-that-the-detroit-auto-industry-is-important-to-the-united/) [John Boehner](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/john-boehner/) > [I think Detroit shows that we've come to the end of the industrial epoch and have to find a new mode of production.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/grace-lee-boggs/i-think-detroit-shows-that-we-ve-come-to-the-end-of-the-industrial/) [Grace Lee Boggs](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/grace-lee-boggs/) > [I think Detroit would do real well if we started repopulating it with young, aspirational people.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/jeb-bush/i-think-detroit-would-do-real-well-if-we-started-repopulating-it-with/) [Jeb Bush](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/jeb-bush/) > [I think Detroit is starting to get it. We consider it a victory for the grassroots, CalCars, and the Internet-led effort.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/felix-kramer/i-think-detroit-is-starting-to-get-it-we-consider-it-a-victory-for/) [Felix Kramer](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/felix-kramer/) ## More by Daniel Kahneman > [Economists think about what people ought to do. Psychologists watch what they actually do.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/daniel-kahneman/economists-think-about-what-people-ought-to-do-psychologists-watch/) [Daniel Kahneman](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/daniel-kahneman/) > [“Belief in the Law of Small Numbers.”](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/daniel-kahneman/belief-in-the-law-of-small-numbers/) [Daniel Kahneman](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/daniel-kahneman/) > [“People who are poor think like traders, but the dynamics are quite different. 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Kids always wanted to listen to music outside…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/diana-ross/i-really-don-t-think-that-detroit-was-any-different-than-new-york-of/) [Diana Ross](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/diana-ross/) > [I think Detroit is where muscle meets brains.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/dan-gilbert/i-think-detroit-is-where-muscle-meets-brains/) [Dan Gilbert](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/dan-gilbert/) > [People think that Detroit is this barren wasteland. While there are parts that are not as nice as others, the misconception is not true.…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/steven-yeun/people-think-that-detroit-is-this-barren-wasteland-while-there-are/) [Steven Yeun](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/steven-yeun/) > [I think Detroit deserves a comedy that's not about suffering.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/sam-richardson/i-think-detroit-deserves-a-comedy-that-s-not-about-suffering/) [Sam Richardson](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/sam-richardson/) > [I think that the Detroit auto industry is important to the United States. It's important for hundreds of thousands of Americans who have their…](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/john-boehner/i-think-that-the-detroit-auto-industry-is-important-to-the-united/) [John Boehner](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/john-boehner/) > [I think Detroit shows that we've come to the end of the industrial epoch and have to find a new mode of production.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/grace-lee-boggs/i-think-detroit-shows-that-we-ve-come-to-the-end-of-the-industrial/) [Grace Lee Boggs](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/grace-lee-boggs/) > [I think Detroit would do real well if we started repopulating it with young, aspirational people.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/jeb-bush/i-think-detroit-would-do-real-well-if-we-started-repopulating-it-with/) [Jeb Bush](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/jeb-bush/) > [I think Detroit is starting to get it. We consider it a victory for the grassroots, CalCars, and the Internet-led effort.](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/felix-kramer/i-think-detroit-is-starting-to-get-it-we-consider-it-a-victory-for/) [Felix Kramer](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/author/felix-kramer/) [Browse all 9 Think Detroit quotes ](https://sms4smile.com/quotes/about/think-detroit-3436680/) ```json { "@context": "https://schema.org", "@graph": [ { "@type": "Quotation", "text": "“Indeed, the average guess by people who were asked about Michigan is lower than the guesses of a similar group who were asked about the murder rate in Detroit. Blame for a failure to think of Detroit can be laid on both System 1 and System 2. 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